Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (47.7% vs 48.0%). Backlund wins 46.3% vs right-shot opponents — Getzlaf shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Backlund 48.1% vs Getzlaf 48.3% (-0.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Getzlaf 52.9%
Defensive zone
Getzlaf 52.1%
Neutral zone
Getzlaf 55.4%
Result
Ryan Getzlaf favored at 53.1%
46.9%
53.1%
Backlund
Getzlaf
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Backlund
Getzlaf
Last 5: Backlund 4-1 Getzlaf
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Backlund
2
0
Backlund
Getzlaf
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Backlund
2
0
Backlund
Getzlaf
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Getzlaf
0
1
Backlund
Getzlaf
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Backlund
Getzlaf
Edge
Even Strength
47.3% (357)
48.1% (607)
-0.8%
Power Play
55.0% (40)
52.2% (67)
+2.8%
Penalty Kill
30.0% (10)
43.1% (65)
-13.1%
On penalty kill, Getzlaf has a +13.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Getzlaf shoots right. Backlund is 46.3% vs right-shot opponents (121).
Backlund shoots left. Getzlaf is 45.9% vs left-shot opponents (523).
Home / Away
Backlund
Getzlaf
Home
45.0% (211)
51.2% (326)
Away
50.5% (196)
45.5% (413)
By Period
Backlund
Getzlaf
P1
47.6%
50.2%
P2
53.0%
47.9%
P3
41.2%
47.0%
OT
100.0%
36.8%
Final 5 min
52.0%
49.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Backlund
52.0%▲
48.0%
47.7%
Getzlaf
54.0%▬
53.5%
48.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 19, 2013 | 3 | 19:09 | Neutral | Ryan Getzlaf |
| Apr 19, 2013 | 3 | 17:02 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Apr 19, 2013 | 2 | 19:18 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Jan 21, 2013 | 3 | 18:43 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Jan 21, 2013 | 2 | 06:56 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |