Scouting Report
Mike Richards holds a +1.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Getzlaf on neutral-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Richards 49.2% vs Getzlaf 48.3% (+1.0%)
H2H factor
Getzlaf leads 8-4 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Richards 53.3%
Defensive zone
Getzlaf 55.6%
Neutral zone
Getzlaf 55.7%
Result
Ryan Getzlaf favored at 52.0%
48.0%
52.0%
Richards
Getzlaf
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
8
(12 meetings)
4
8
Richards
Getzlaf
Last 10: Richards 4-6 Getzlaf
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Richards
3
2
Richards
Getzlaf
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Getzlaf
0
2
Richards
Getzlaf
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Getzlaf
1
4
Richards
Getzlaf
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Richards
Getzlaf
Edge
Even Strength
50.0% (370)
48.1% (607)
+1.9%
Power Play
50.0% (30)
52.2% (67)
-2.2%
Penalty Kill
39.0% (41)
43.1% (65)
-4.1%
On penalty kill, Getzlaf has a +4.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Getzlaf shoots right. Richards is 49.6% vs right-shot opponents (121).
Richards shoots left. Getzlaf is 45.9% vs left-shot opponents (523).
Home / Away
Richards
Getzlaf
Home
52.3% (214)
51.2% (326)
Away
45.8% (227)
45.5% (413)
By Period
Richards
Getzlaf
P1
47.3%
50.2%
P2
53.2%
47.9%
P3
46.3%
47.0%
OT
60.0%
36.8%
Final 5 min
46.0%
49.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Richards
58.0%▲
48.0%
49.0%
Getzlaf
54.0%▬
53.5%
48.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 13, 2013 | 3 | 07:31 | Defensive | Ryan Getzlaf |
| Feb 25, 2013 | 3 | 05:21 | Offensive | Ryan Getzlaf |
| Feb 25, 2013 | 2 | 06:45 | Offensive | Mike Richards |
| Feb 25, 2013 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan Getzlaf |
| Feb 25, 2013 | 1 | 08:47 | Offensive | Mike Richards |
| Feb 25, 2013 | 1 | 03:01 | Neutral | Ryan Getzlaf |
| Feb 25, 2013 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mike Richards |
| Feb 2, 2013 | 3 | 03:43 | Neutral | Ryan Getzlaf |
| Feb 2, 2013 | 2 | 09:08 | Offensive | Ryan Getzlaf |
| Feb 2, 2013 | 2 | 03:29 | Offensive | Mike Richards |
| Feb 2, 2013 | 1 | 13:42 | Defensive | Ryan Getzlaf |
| Feb 2, 2013 | 1 | 13:30 | Neutral | Ryan Getzlaf |