Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (47.3% vs 48.0%). Look for Getzlaf on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Marleau wins 44.1% vs right-shot opponents — Getzlaf shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Marleau 48.4% vs Getzlaf 48.3% (-0.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Marleau 50.9%
Defensive zone
Marleau 57.5%
Neutral zone
Marleau 53.4%
Result
Patrick Marleau favored at 55.7%
55.7%
44.3%
Marleau
Getzlaf
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Marleau
Getzlaf
Last 6: Marleau 2-4 Getzlaf
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Getzlaf
0
1
Marleau
Getzlaf
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Getzlaf
1
3
Marleau
Getzlaf
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Marleau
1
0
Marleau
Getzlaf
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Marleau
Getzlaf
Edge
Even Strength
47.3% (91)
48.1% (607)
-0.8%
Power Play
50.0% (14)
52.2% (67)
-2.2%
Penalty Kill
46.7% (45)
43.1% (65)
+3.6%
On penalty kill, Marleau has a +3.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Getzlaf shoots right. Marleau is 44.1% vs right-shot opponents (68).
Marleau shoots left. Getzlaf is 45.9% vs left-shot opponents (523).
Home / Away
Marleau
Getzlaf
Home
48.6% (74)
51.2% (326)
Away
46.1% (76)
45.5% (413)
By Period
Marleau
Getzlaf
P1
34.7%
50.2%
P2
48.9%
47.9%
P3
53.2%
47.0%
OT
77.8%
36.8%
Final 5 min
46.7%
49.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Marleau
50.0%▲
47.0%
47.3%
Getzlaf
54.0%▬
53.5%
48.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 27, 2013 | 3 | 05:25 | Defensive | Patrick Marleau |
| Mar 27, 2013 | 2 | 10:21 | Defensive | Ryan Getzlaf |
| Mar 25, 2013 | 2 | 02:47 | Offensive | Ryan Getzlaf |
| Feb 4, 2013 | 1 | 18:22 | Defensive | Ryan Getzlaf |
| Jan 29, 2013 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Patrick Marleau |
| Jan 29, 2013 | 2 | 17:15 | Defensive | Ryan Getzlaf |