Scouting Report
Ryan Getzlaf holds a +4.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Holland on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Holland wins 44.7% vs right-shot opponents — Getzlaf shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Holland 46.2% vs Getzlaf 50.3% (-4.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Getzlaf 86.9%
Defensive zone
Getzlaf 76.1%
Neutral zone
Getzlaf 79.4%
Result
Ryan Getzlaf favored at 81.9%
18.1%
81.9%
Holland
Getzlaf
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
1
(6 meetings)
5
1
Holland
Getzlaf
Last 6: Holland 5-1 Getzlaf
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Holland
2
0
Holland
Getzlaf
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Holland
3
1
Holland
Getzlaf
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Holland
Getzlaf
Edge
Even Strength
45.0% (462)
50.1% (895)
-5.1%
Power Play
52.9% (34)
61.0% (59)
-8.1%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (6)
43.1% (58)
-9.8%
On penalty kill, Getzlaf has a +9.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Getzlaf shoots right. Holland is 44.7% vs right-shot opponents (190).
Holland shoots left. Getzlaf is 45.2% vs left-shot opponents (697).
Home / Away
Holland
Getzlaf
Home
50.8% (240)
52.0% (465)
Away
40.5% (262)
48.8% (547)
By Period
Holland
Getzlaf
P1
44.9%
48.3%
P2
46.0%
51.4%
P3
45.7%
51.5%
OT
33.3%
46.2%
Final 5 min
44.2%
52.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Holland
38.0%▼
48.0%
45.4%
Getzlaf
54.0%▬
53.5%
50.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 14, 2017 | 3 | 05:26 | Neutral | Peter Holland |
| Jan 14, 2017 | 3 | 05:20 | Neutral | Peter Holland |
| Jan 14, 2017 | 3 | 02:43 | Offensive | Peter Holland |
| Jan 14, 2017 | 2 | 12:36 | Neutral | Ryan Getzlaf |
| Jan 14, 2017 | 2 | 08:24 | Neutral | Peter Holland |
| Jan 14, 2017 | 2 | 05:33 | Offensive | Peter Holland |