Scouting Report
Ryan Getzlaf holds a +2.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Gagner on offensive-zone draws (89% H2H, 9 meetings). Getzlaf wins 54.8% vs right-shot opponents — Gagner shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Getzlaf 49.1% vs Gagner 47.1% (+2.2%)
H2H factor
Gagner leads 13-6 in 19 meetings
Offensive zone
Gagner 84.9%
Defensive zone
Getzlaf 52.1%
Neutral zone
Gagner 61.7%
Result
Sam Gagner favored at 69.1%
30.9%
69.1%
Getzlaf
Gagner
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
13
(19 meetings)
6
13
Getzlaf
Gagner
Last 10: Getzlaf 6-4 Gagner
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Gagner
1
8
Getzlaf
Gagner
9 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Gagner
2
3
Getzlaf
Gagner
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Getzlaf
3
2
Getzlaf
Gagner
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Getzlaf
Gagner
Edge
Even Strength
49.5% (1,086)
45.9% (815)
+3.6%
Power Play
57.0% (93)
55.3% (132)
+1.7%
Penalty Kill
43.5% (232)
25.0% (16)
+18.5%
On penalty kill, Getzlaf has a +18.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gagner shoots right. Getzlaf is 54.8% vs right-shot opponents (509).
Getzlaf shoots right. Gagner is 49.7% vs right-shot opponents (308).
Home / Away
Getzlaf
Gagner
Home
53.0% (664)
48.7% (542)
Away
45.5% (747)
44.4% (421)
By Period
Getzlaf
Gagner
P1
48.4%
45.1%
P2
51.7%
46.6%
P3
46.1%
49.7%
OT
60.6%
25.0%
Final 5 min
46.3%
42.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Getzlaf
54.0%▬
53.5%
49.0%
Gagner
48.0%▲
41.5%
46.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 6, 2014 | 2 | 04:45 | Offensive | Sam Gagner |
| Apr 2, 2014 | 3 | 10:50 | Defensive | Ryan Getzlaf |
| Apr 2, 2014 | 1 | 16:35 | Offensive | Ryan Getzlaf |
| Apr 2, 2014 | 1 | 05:54 | Offensive | Sam Gagner |
| Apr 2, 2014 | 1 | 00:25 | Defensive | Ryan Getzlaf |
| Mar 28, 2014 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan Getzlaf |
| Mar 28, 2014 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan Getzlaf |
| Jan 3, 2014 | 3 | 16:24 | Offensive | Sam Gagner |
| Jan 3, 2014 | 1 | 15:35 | Neutral | Sam Gagner |
| Jan 3, 2014 | 1 | 11:06 | Neutral | Ryan Getzlaf |
| Jan 3, 2014 | 1 | 08:03 | Offensive | Sam Gagner |
| Jan 3, 2014 | 1 | 01:15 | Offensive | Sam Gagner |
| Dec 15, 2013 | 3 | 13:36 | Defensive | Sam Gagner |
| Dec 15, 2013 | 3 | 07:47 | Defensive | Sam Gagner |
| Dec 15, 2013 | 2 | 19:58 | Defensive | Sam Gagner |
| Dec 15, 2013 | 2 | 01:37 | Neutral | Sam Gagner |
| Dec 15, 2013 | 2 | 01:26 | Offensive | Sam Gagner |
| Dec 15, 2013 | 1 | 17:24 | Offensive | Sam Gagner |
| Dec 15, 2013 | 1 | 08:56 | Offensive | Sam Gagner |