Scouting Report
Ryan Getzlaf holds a +1.9% FO% edge overall. Getzlaf wins 57.2% vs right-shot opponents — Johnson shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Getzlaf 50.6% vs Johnson 48.8% (+1.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Getzlaf 62.3%
Defensive zone
Getzlaf 64.9%
Neutral zone
Getzlaf 62.6%
Result
Ryan Getzlaf favored at 63.9%
63.9%
36.1%
Getzlaf
Johnson
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
2
(7 meetings)
5
2
Getzlaf
Johnson
Last 7: Getzlaf 5-2 Johnson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Getzlaf
1
0
Getzlaf
Johnson
1 total
Defensive Zone
Even
2
2
Getzlaf
Johnson
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Getzlaf
2
0
Getzlaf
Johnson
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Getzlaf
Johnson
Edge
Even Strength
50.6% (1,060)
49.5% (828)
+1.1%
Power Play
48.3% (118)
54.9% (142)
-6.6%
Penalty Kill
54.9% (71)
36.8% (133)
+18.1%
On penalty kill, Getzlaf has a +18.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johnson shoots right. Getzlaf is 57.2% vs right-shot opponents (421).
Getzlaf shoots right. Johnson is 48.5% vs right-shot opponents (375).
Home / Away
Getzlaf
Johnson
Home
51.9% (622)
50.7% (564)
Away
49.3% (627)
46.6% (539)
By Period
Getzlaf
Johnson
P1
49.4%
51.2%
P2
53.1%
47.5%
P3
50.5%
48.4%
OT
33.3%
33.3%
Final 5 min
54.5%
48.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Getzlaf
54.0%▬
53.5%
50.6%
Johnson
42.0%▼
48.0%
48.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 18, 2015 | 2 | 05:44 | Defensive | Ryan Getzlaf |
| Feb 8, 2015 | 3 | 09:39 | Defensive | Tyler Johnson |
| Feb 8, 2015 | 3 | 09:21 | Defensive | Tyler Johnson |
| Feb 8, 2015 | 2 | 15:05 | Offensive | Ryan Getzlaf |
| Feb 8, 2015 | 1 | 18:52 | Neutral | Ryan Getzlaf |
| Feb 8, 2015 | 1 | 13:42 | Neutral | Ryan Getzlaf |
| Feb 8, 2015 | 1 | 12:04 | Defensive | Ryan Getzlaf |