Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (50.3% vs 51.0%). Look for Getzlaf on neutral-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings). Getzlaf wins 61.6% vs right-shot opponents — Seguin shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Getzlaf 50.3% vs Seguin 50.9% (-0.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Getzlaf 54.6%
Defensive zone
Seguin 53.3%
Neutral zone
Getzlaf 53.5%
Result
Ryan Getzlaf favored at 52.1%
52.1%
47.9%
Getzlaf
Seguin
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
3
(9 meetings)
6
3
Getzlaf
Seguin
Last 9: Getzlaf 6-3 Seguin
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Getzlaf
1
0
Getzlaf
Seguin
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Seguin
0
2
Getzlaf
Seguin
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Getzlaf
5
1
Getzlaf
Seguin
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Getzlaf
Seguin
Edge
Even Strength
50.1% (895)
51.1% (720)
-1.0%
Power Play
61.0% (59)
54.2% (59)
+6.8%
Penalty Kill
43.1% (58)
14.3% (7)
+28.8%
On penalty kill, Getzlaf has a +28.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Seguin shoots right. Getzlaf is 61.6% vs right-shot opponents (315).
Getzlaf shoots right. Seguin is 53.1% vs right-shot opponents (207).
Home / Away
Getzlaf
Seguin
Home
52.0% (465)
52.0% (421)
Away
48.8% (547)
49.9% (365)
By Period
Getzlaf
Seguin
P1
48.3%
50.8%
P2
51.4%
51.3%
P3
51.5%
51.0%
OT
46.2%
50.0%
Final 5 min
52.2%
56.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Getzlaf
54.0%▬
53.5%
50.3%
Seguin
42.0%▼
54.0%
51.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 13, 2016 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan Getzlaf |
| Dec 13, 2016 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan Getzlaf |
| Oct 13, 2016 | 3 | 13:32 | Offensive | Ryan Getzlaf |
| Oct 13, 2016 | 3 | 13:23 | Defensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Oct 13, 2016 | 3 | 01:23 | Neutral | Ryan Getzlaf |
| Oct 13, 2016 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan Getzlaf |
| Oct 13, 2016 | 2 | 15:38 | Defensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Oct 13, 2016 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan Getzlaf |
| Oct 13, 2016 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Tyler Seguin |