Scouting Report
Tyler Seguin holds a +6.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Getzlaf on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Getzlaf wins 62.7% vs right-shot opponents — Seguin shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Getzlaf 51.1% vs Seguin 57.4% (-6.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Seguin 72.5%
Defensive zone
Seguin 73.6%
Neutral zone
Seguin 77.8%
Result
Tyler Seguin favored at 73.2%
26.8%
73.2%
Getzlaf
Seguin
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Getzlaf
Seguin
Last 5: Getzlaf 4-1 Seguin
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Getzlaf
2
0
Getzlaf
Seguin
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Getzlaf
2
1
Getzlaf
Seguin
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Getzlaf
Seguin
Edge
Even Strength
51.6% (812)
59.6% (736)
-8.0%
Power Play
55.3% (94)
61.5% (65)
-6.2%
Penalty Kill
45.2% (126)
47.6% (124)
-2.4%
On even strength, Seguin has a +8.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Seguin shoots right. Getzlaf is 62.7% vs right-shot opponents (260).
Getzlaf shoots right. Seguin is 55.7% vs right-shot opponents (253).
Home / Away
Getzlaf
Seguin
Home
52.5% (531)
60.1% (461)
Away
49.9% (503)
56.3% (464)
By Period
Getzlaf
Seguin
P1
47.8%
59.1%
P2
54.6%
58.9%
P3
52.6%
57.3%
OT
27.8%
46.7%
Final 5 min
48.0%
53.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Getzlaf
54.0%▬
53.5%
51.3%
Seguin
42.0%▼
54.0%
58.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 9, 2020 | 3 | 16:30 | Offensive | Ryan Getzlaf |
| Oct 24, 2019 | 3 | 03:58 | Defensive | Ryan Getzlaf |
| Oct 24, 2019 | 2 | 17:33 | Offensive | Ryan Getzlaf |
| Oct 24, 2019 | 2 | 09:43 | Defensive | Ryan Getzlaf |
| Oct 24, 2019 | 1 | 14:54 | Defensive | Tyler Seguin |