Scouting Report
Zack Smith holds a +1.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Getzlaf on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Getzlaf wins 45.2% vs left-shot opponents — Smith shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Getzlaf 50.3% vs Smith 51.8% (-1.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Getzlaf 53.8%
Defensive zone
Smith 57.2%
Neutral zone
Getzlaf 54.3%
Result
Ryan Getzlaf favored at 50.1%
50.1%
49.9%
Getzlaf
Smith
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
1
(6 meetings)
5
1
Getzlaf
Smith
Last 6: Getzlaf 5-1 Smith
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Getzlaf
3
1
Getzlaf
Smith
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Getzlaf
2
0
Getzlaf
Smith
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Getzlaf
Smith
Edge
Even Strength
50.1% (895)
53.5% (430)
-3.4%
Power Play
61.0% (59)
47.7% (65)
+13.3%
Penalty Kill
43.1% (58)
49.1% (114)
-6.0%
On power play, Getzlaf has a +13.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Smith shoots left. Getzlaf is 45.2% vs left-shot opponents (697).
Getzlaf shoots right. Smith is 49.4% vs right-shot opponents (245).
Home / Away
Getzlaf
Smith
Home
52.0% (465)
54.0% (298)
Away
48.8% (547)
50.2% (311)
By Period
Getzlaf
Smith
P1
48.3%
55.4%
P2
51.4%
45.9%
P3
51.5%
54.6%
OT
46.2%
50.0%
Final 5 min
52.2%
52.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Getzlaf
54.0%▬
53.5%
50.3%
Smith
40.0%▼
47.0%
52.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 22, 2016 | 3 | 15:44 | Offensive | Ryan Getzlaf |
| Dec 22, 2016 | 3 | 05:09 | Offensive | Ryan Getzlaf |
| Dec 22, 2016 | 2 | 02:44 | Defensive | Ryan Getzlaf |
| Dec 22, 2016 | 1 | 11:26 | Defensive | Ryan Getzlaf |
| Dec 22, 2016 | 1 | 09:52 | Offensive | Ryan Getzlaf |
| Dec 11, 2016 | 3 | 10:54 | Offensive | Zack Smith |