Scouting Report
Ryan Getzlaf holds a +5.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Getzlaf on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Getzlaf wins 53.2% vs left-shot opponents — Smith shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Getzlaf 53.9% vs Smith 49.2% (+5.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Getzlaf 92.3%
Defensive zone
Getzlaf 68.2%
Neutral zone
Getzlaf 89.2%
Result
Ryan Getzlaf favored at 80.6%
80.6%
19.4%
Getzlaf
Smith
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
1
(7 meetings)
6
1
Getzlaf
Smith
Last 7: Getzlaf 6-1 Smith
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Getzlaf
1
0
Getzlaf
Smith
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Getzlaf
3
0
Getzlaf
Smith
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Getzlaf
2
1
Getzlaf
Smith
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Getzlaf
Smith
Edge
Even Strength
54.3% (879)
50.9% (666)
+3.4%
Power Play
62.8% (78)
70.0% (10)
-7.2%
Penalty Kill
43.9% (57)
39.6% (144)
+4.3%
On power play, Smith has a +7.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Smith shoots left. Getzlaf is 53.2% vs left-shot opponents (705).
Getzlaf shoots right. Smith is 40.9% vs right-shot opponents (298).
Home / Away
Getzlaf
Smith
Home
56.6% (535)
50.9% (405)
Away
51.8% (479)
47.5% (415)
By Period
Getzlaf
Smith
P1
55.6%
47.1%
P2
55.7%
49.6%
P3
51.5%
50.4%
OT
58.8%
100.0%
Final 5 min
56.3%
48.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Getzlaf
54.0%▬
53.5%
54.3%
Smith
40.0%▼
47.0%
49.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 7, 2019 | 3 | 17:43 | Offensive | Ryan Getzlaf |
| Feb 7, 2019 | 3 | 06:26 | Neutral | Zack Smith |
| Feb 7, 2019 | 2 | 14:49 | Defensive | Ryan Getzlaf |
| Feb 7, 2019 | 2 | 04:17 | Defensive | Ryan Getzlaf |
| Feb 7, 2019 | 1 | 16:56 | Neutral | Ryan Getzlaf |
| Feb 7, 2019 | 1 | 02:39 | Defensive | Ryan Getzlaf |
| Feb 7, 2019 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan Getzlaf |