Scouting Report
Brad Richardson holds a +13.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Richardson on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Richardson wins 59.1% vs right-shot opponents — Hartman shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Richardson 55.8% vs Hartman 45.3% (+13.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hartman 54.1%
Defensive zone
Richardson 77.9%
Neutral zone
Richardson 63.1%
Result
Brad Richardson favored at 59.7%
59.7%
40.3%
Richardson
Hartman
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Richardson
Hartman
Last 5: Richardson 3-2 Hartman
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hartman
0
1
Richardson
Hartman
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Richardson
3
1
Richardson
Hartman
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Richardson
Hartman
Edge
Even Strength
59.7% (221)
44.8% (936)
+14.9%
Power Play
100.0% (2)
49.4% (154)
+50.6%
Penalty Kill
31.3% (16)
33.3% (54)
-2.0%
On power play, Richardson has a +50.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hartman shoots right. Richardson is 59.1% vs right-shot opponents (88).
Richardson shoots left. Hartman is 43.9% vs left-shot opponents (800).
Home / Away
Richardson
Hartman
Home
60.2% (88)
47.4% (568)
Away
57.0% (151)
42.4% (576)
By Period
Richardson
Hartman
P1
63.8%
47.2%
P2
59.1%
43.4%
P3
50.7%
43.8%
Final 5 min
65.3%
49.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Richardson
58.0%▬
58.0%
58.2%
Hartman
54.0%▲
52.0%
44.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 24, 2022 | 1 | 08:08 | Neutral | Brad Richardson |
| Mar 1, 2022 | 3 | 13:46 | Neutral | Brad Richardson |
| Mar 1, 2022 | 2 | 08:53 | Neutral | Ryan Hartman |
| Mar 1, 2022 | 1 | 07:18 | Offensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Feb 26, 2022 | 3 | 18:06 | Neutral | Brad Richardson |