Scouting Report
Derick Brassard holds a +11.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Hartman on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Brassard wins 54.5% vs right-shot opponents — Hartman shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Brassard 52.1% vs Hartman 43.0% (+11.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Brassard 67.0%
Defensive zone
Hartman 60.4%
Neutral zone
Hartman 52.5%
Result
Ryan Hartman favored at 54.2%
45.8%
54.2%
Brassard
Hartman
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
4
(7 meetings)
3
4
Brassard
Hartman
Last 7: Brassard 3-4 Hartman
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Brassard
1
0
Brassard
Hartman
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hartman
1
3
Brassard
Hartman
4 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Brassard
Hartman
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Brassard
Hartman
Edge
Even Strength
53.3% (368)
40.9% (413)
+12.4%
Power Play
50.0% (62)
53.6% (28)
-3.6%
Penalty Kill
40.0% (5)
38.9% (36)
+1.1%
On even strength, Brassard has a +12.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hartman shoots right. Brassard is 54.5% vs right-shot opponents (132).
Brassard shoots left. Hartman is 38.7% vs left-shot opponents (336).
Home / Away
Brassard
Hartman
Home
52.6% (247)
46.2% (249)
Away
52.7% (188)
36.4% (228)
By Period
Brassard
Hartman
P1
52.5%
45.4%
P2
56.6%
39.1%
P3
49.0%
40.2%
Final 5 min
47.9%
41.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Brassard
42.0%▼
52.0%
52.6%
Hartman
54.0%▲
52.0%
41.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 16, 2021 | 3 | 19:40 | Defensive | Derick Brassard |
| Mar 16, 2021 | 3 | 07:44 | Defensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Mar 16, 2021 | 1 | 04:03 | Neutral | Derick Brassard |
| Mar 16, 2021 | 1 | 03:57 | Neutral | Ryan Hartman |
| Mar 16, 2021 | 1 | 01:02 | Offensive | Derick Brassard |
| Mar 14, 2021 | 3 | 18:30 | Defensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Mar 14, 2021 | 3 | 12:46 | Defensive | Ryan Hartman |