Scouting Report
Elias Pettersson holds a +3.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Hartman on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Pettersson wins 54.9% vs right-shot opponents — Hartman shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pettersson 50.7% vs Hartman 47.3% (+3.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hartman 57.0%
Defensive zone
Hartman 61.1%
Neutral zone
Hartman 57.8%
Result
Ryan Hartman favored at 57.9%
42.1%
57.9%
Pettersson
Hartman
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
5
(6 meetings)
1
5
Pettersson
Hartman
Last 6: Pettersson 1-5 Hartman
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hartman
0
3
Pettersson
Hartman
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Pettersson
1
0
Pettersson
Hartman
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hartman
0
2
Pettersson
Hartman
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pettersson
Hartman
Edge
Even Strength
50.4% (698)
47.1% (649)
+3.3%
Power Play
63.2% (57)
47.1% (68)
+16.1%
Penalty Kill
40.9% (44)
45.2% (73)
-4.3%
On power play, Pettersson has a +16.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hartman shoots right. Pettersson is 54.9% vs right-shot opponents (255).
Pettersson shoots left. Hartman is 47.9% vs left-shot opponents (608).
Home / Away
Pettersson
Hartman
Home
50.7% (420)
46.5% (361)
Away
50.9% (379)
47.3% (429)
By Period
Pettersson
Hartman
P1
48.0%
45.1%
P2
47.6%
44.4%
P3
57.5%
50.9%
OT
30.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
51.1%
52.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pettersson
50.0%▬
50.5%
50.8%
Hartman
54.0%▲
52.0%
47.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 19, 2024 | 3 | 05:12 | Neutral | Ryan Hartman |
| Feb 19, 2024 | 1 | 13:21 | Neutral | Ryan Hartman |
| Dec 16, 2023 | 3 | 06:09 | Defensive | Elias Pettersson |
| Dec 16, 2023 | 1 | 16:45 | Offensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Dec 16, 2023 | 1 | 16:28 | Offensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Dec 7, 2023 | 3 | 07:57 | Offensive | Ryan Hartman |