Scouting Report
Ryan Hartman holds a +1.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Roslovic on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Roslovic wins 41.3% vs right-shot opponents — Hartman shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Roslovic 44.2% vs Hartman 45.3% (-1.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hartman 52.1%
Defensive zone
Hartman 72.5%
Neutral zone
Hartman 64.5%
Result
Ryan Hartman favored at 57.0%
43.0%
57.0%
Roslovic
Hartman
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Roslovic
Hartman
Last 5: Roslovic 4-1 Hartman
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Roslovic
2
1
Roslovic
Hartman
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Roslovic
2
0
Roslovic
Hartman
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Roslovic
Hartman
Edge
Even Strength
42.9% (739)
44.8% (936)
-1.9%
Power Play
54.8% (84)
49.4% (154)
+5.4%
Penalty Kill
28.1% (32)
33.3% (54)
-5.2%
On power play, Roslovic has a +5.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hartman shoots right. Roslovic is 41.3% vs right-shot opponents (286).
Roslovic shoots right. Hartman is 47.1% vs right-shot opponents (344).
Home / Away
Roslovic
Hartman
Home
41.6% (442)
47.4% (568)
Away
45.5% (413)
42.4% (576)
By Period
Roslovic
Hartman
P1
44.9%
47.2%
P2
43.8%
43.4%
P3
41.8%
43.8%
OT
0.0%
53.8%
Final 5 min
45.5%
49.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Roslovic
50.0%▼
53.0%
43.5%
Hartman
54.0%▲
52.0%
44.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 26, 2022 | 3 | 15:16 | Offensive | Jack Roslovic |
| Mar 26, 2022 | 2 | 19:48 | Offensive | Jack Roslovic |
| Mar 26, 2022 | 1 | 06:05 | Offensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Mar 11, 2022 | 3 | 15:14 | Neutral | Jack Roslovic |
| Mar 11, 2022 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jack Roslovic |