Scouting Report
Jason Dickinson holds a +1.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Dickinson on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Dickinson wins 56.6% vs right-shot opponents — Hartman shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dickinson 49.5% vs Hartman 48.1% (+1.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hartman 61.4%
Defensive zone
Dickinson 81.6%
Neutral zone
Dickinson 52.6%
Result
Jason Dickinson favored at 64.4%
64.4%
35.6%
Dickinson
Hartman
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Dickinson
Hartman
Last 5: Dickinson 4-1 Hartman
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Dickinson
2
0
Dickinson
Hartman
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dickinson
2
1
Dickinson
Hartman
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dickinson
Hartman
Edge
Even Strength
51.5% (695)
48.1% (520)
+3.4%
Power Play
54.5% (11)
44.7% (47)
+9.8%
Penalty Kill
42.4% (210)
47.8% (23)
-5.4%
On power play, Dickinson has a +9.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hartman shoots right. Dickinson is 56.6% vs right-shot opponents (281).
Dickinson shoots left. Hartman is 46.2% vs left-shot opponents (442).
Home / Away
Dickinson
Hartman
Home
53.6% (489)
48.3% (360)
Away
44.7% (427)
47.0% (230)
By Period
Dickinson
Hartman
P1
47.7%
48.5%
P2
52.1%
45.2%
P3
47.8%
49.6%
OT
83.3%
50.0%
Final 5 min
50.0%
42.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dickinson
50.0%▲
47.5%
49.5%
Hartman
54.0%▲
52.0%
47.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 23, 2024 | 2 | 10:32 | Offensive | Jason Dickinson |
| Dec 23, 2024 | 2 | 07:16 | Defensive | Jason Dickinson |
| Dec 23, 2024 | 1 | 12:38 | Defensive | Jason Dickinson |
| Nov 10, 2024 | 2 | 08:31 | Defensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Nov 10, 2024 | 2 | 08:27 | Offensive | Jason Dickinson |