Scouting Report
Johan Larsson holds a +1.4% FO% edge overall. Larsson wins 45.5% vs right-shot opponents — Hartman shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Larsson 46.9% vs Hartman 45.3% (+1.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hartman 72.4%
Defensive zone
Larsson 70.4%
Neutral zone
Hartman 55.0%
Result
Ryan Hartman favored at 68.1%
31.9%
68.1%
Larsson
Hartman
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
3
(8 meetings)
5
3
Larsson
Hartman
Last 8: Larsson 5-3 Hartman
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
3
3
Larsson
Hartman
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Larsson
2
0
Larsson
Hartman
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Larsson
Hartman
Edge
Even Strength
46.7% (345)
44.8% (936)
+1.9%
Power Play
61.1% (18)
49.4% (154)
+11.7%
Penalty Kill
39.0% (59)
33.3% (54)
+5.7%
On power play, Larsson has a +11.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hartman shoots right. Larsson is 45.5% vs right-shot opponents (156).
Larsson shoots left. Hartman is 43.9% vs left-shot opponents (800).
Home / Away
Larsson
Hartman
Home
52.1% (167)
47.4% (568)
Away
42.4% (255)
42.4% (576)
By Period
Larsson
Hartman
P1
50.0%
47.2%
P2
46.7%
43.4%
P3
42.6%
43.8%
OT
50.0%
53.8%
Final 5 min
55.2%
49.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Larsson
40.0%▼
46.5%
46.2%
Hartman
54.0%▲
52.0%
44.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 30, 2021 | 3 | 16:43 | Offensive | Johan Larsson |
| Nov 30, 2021 | 3 | 05:58 | Neutral | Johan Larsson |
| Nov 30, 2021 | 3 | 02:06 | Offensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Nov 30, 2021 | 2 | 09:43 | Offensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Nov 30, 2021 | 1 | 04:35 | Offensive | Johan Larsson |
| Nov 10, 2021 | 3 | 14:31 | Offensive | Johan Larsson |
| Nov 10, 2021 | 3 | 02:44 | Offensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Nov 10, 2021 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Johan Larsson |