Scouting Report
Ross Colton holds a +7.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Hartman on neutral-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Colton 51.8% vs Hartman 45.3% (+7.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hartman 64.0%
Defensive zone
Hartman 71.9%
Neutral zone
Hartman 70.7%
Result
Ryan Hartman favored at 69.2%
30.8%
69.2%
Colton
Hartman
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
6
(8 meetings)
2
6
Colton
Hartman
Last 8: Colton 2-6 Hartman
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hartman
0
2
Colton
Hartman
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hartman
0
1
Colton
Hartman
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hartman
2
3
Colton
Hartman
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Colton
Hartman
Edge
Even Strength
52.7% (524)
44.8% (936)
+7.9%
Power Play
50.9% (53)
49.4% (154)
+1.5%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (4)
33.3% (54)
-33.3%
On penalty kill, Hartman has a +33.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hartman shoots right. Colton is 47.5% vs right-shot opponents (238).
Colton shoots left. Hartman is 43.9% vs left-shot opponents (800).
Home / Away
Colton
Hartman
Home
52.9% (291)
47.4% (568)
Away
51.4% (290)
42.4% (576)
By Period
Colton
Hartman
P1
50.6%
47.2%
P2
54.4%
43.4%
P3
51.6%
43.8%
OT
40.0%
53.8%
Final 5 min
51.4%
49.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Colton
44.0%▲
42.5%
52.2%
Hartman
54.0%▲
52.0%
44.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 28, 2021 | 3 | 19:43 | Neutral | Ross Colton |
| Nov 28, 2021 | 3 | 02:03 | Offensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Nov 28, 2021 | 1 | 14:18 | Offensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Nov 28, 2021 | 1 | 11:03 | Neutral | Ryan Hartman |
| Nov 21, 2021 | 2 | 17:07 | Neutral | Ross Colton |
| Nov 21, 2021 | 2 | 14:10 | Defensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Nov 21, 2021 | 1 | 16:22 | Neutral | Ryan Hartman |
| Nov 21, 2021 | 1 | 01:06 | Neutral | Ryan Hartman |