Scouting Report
Tyler Seguin holds a +10.9% FO% edge overall. Hartman wins 43.6% vs right-shot opponents — Seguin shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hartman 43.6% vs Seguin 52.5% (-10.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hartman 67.8%
Defensive zone
Hartman 67.5%
Neutral zone
Hartman 68.0%
Result
Ryan Hartman favored at 67.9%
67.9%
32.1%
Hartman
Seguin
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
2
(2 meetings)
0
2
Hartman
Seguin
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Seguin
0
1
Hartman
Seguin
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Seguin
0
1
Hartman
Seguin
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hartman
Seguin
Edge
Even Strength
42.4% (618)
53.2% (201)
-10.8%
Power Play
45.9% (61)
60.0% (25)
-14.1%
Penalty Kill
40.0% (15)
44.4% (9)
-4.4%
On power play, Seguin has a +14.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Seguin shoots right. Hartman is 43.6% vs right-shot opponents (179).
Hartman shoots right. Seguin is 56.3% vs right-shot opponents (48).
Home / Away
Hartman
Seguin
Home
41.9% (372)
56.3% (126)
Away
43.5% (322)
50.5% (109)
By Period
Hartman
Seguin
P1
41.3%
44.3%
P2
40.8%
52.1%
P3
45.5%
62.5%
OT
100.0%
80.0%
Final 5 min
43.5%
50.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hartman
44.0%▲
41.5%
42.7%
Seguin
42.0%▼
54.0%
53.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 14, 2025 | 2 | 11:39 | Offensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Oct 14, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Tyler Seguin |