Scouting Report
Tyson Jost holds a +5.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Jost on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Hartman wins 38.7% vs left-shot opponents — Jost shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hartman 43.0% vs Jost 47.5% (-5.3%)
H2H factor
Jost leads 9-5 in 14 meetings
Offensive zone
Hartman 62.2%
Defensive zone
Hartman 63.7%
Neutral zone
Hartman 62.8%
Result
Ryan Hartman favored at 63.0%
63.0%
37.0%
Hartman
Jost
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
9
(14 meetings)
5
9
Hartman
Jost
Last 10: Hartman 3-7 Jost
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Jost
0
3
Hartman
Jost
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hartman
3
2
Hartman
Jost
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Jost
2
4
Hartman
Jost
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hartman
Jost
Edge
Even Strength
40.9% (413)
47.7% (287)
-6.8%
Power Play
53.6% (28)
62.5% (8)
-8.9%
Penalty Kill
38.9% (36)
39.2% (51)
-0.3%
On power play, Jost has a +8.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Jost shoots left. Hartman is 38.7% vs left-shot opponents (336).
Hartman shoots right. Jost is 50.8% vs right-shot opponents (120).
Home / Away
Hartman
Jost
Home
46.2% (249)
49.5% (190)
Away
36.4% (228)
43.6% (156)
By Period
Hartman
Jost
P1
45.4%
43.2%
P2
39.1%
52.5%
P3
40.2%
44.5%
Final 5 min
41.4%
36.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hartman
44.0%▲
41.5%
41.5%
Jost
40.0%▼
44.5%
46.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 5, 2021 | 2 | 01:29 | Neutral | Tyson Jost |
| Mar 20, 2021 | 3 | 19:28 | Offensive | Tyson Jost |
| Mar 20, 2021 | 3 | 07:27 | Defensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Mar 20, 2021 | 2 | 19:41 | Offensive | Tyson Jost |
| Mar 20, 2021 | 2 | 01:53 | Neutral | Tyson Jost |
| Mar 18, 2021 | 3 | 13:27 | Defensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Mar 18, 2021 | 3 | 01:32 | Offensive | Tyson Jost |
| Mar 18, 2021 | 2 | 16:12 | Defensive | Tyson Jost |
| Mar 18, 2021 | 2 | 11:44 | Defensive | Tyson Jost |
| Jan 31, 2021 | 3 | 19:55 | Neutral | Ryan Hartman |
| Jan 31, 2021 | 3 | 15:43 | Defensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Jan 30, 2021 | 3 | 14:59 | Neutral | Tyson Jost |
| Jan 30, 2021 | 3 | 14:55 | Neutral | Tyson Jost |
| Jan 30, 2021 | 3 | 12:17 | Neutral | Ryan Hartman |