Scouting Report
Ryan Johansen holds a +8.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Johansen on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Shaw wins 40.0% vs right-shot opponents — Johansen shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Shaw 47.7% vs Johansen 52.9% (-8.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Shaw 65.6%
Defensive zone
Shaw 56.2%
Neutral zone
Shaw 63.5%
Result
Andrew Shaw favored at 63.0%
63.0%
37.0%
Shaw
Johansen
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
5
(6 meetings)
1
5
Shaw
Johansen
Last 6: Shaw 1-5 Johansen
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Johansen
0
2
Shaw
Johansen
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Shaw
1
0
Shaw
Johansen
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Johansen
0
3
Shaw
Johansen
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Shaw
Johansen
Edge
Even Strength
46.1% (76)
53.4% (845)
-7.3%
Power Play
37.5% (16)
58.8% (102)
-21.3%
Penalty Kill
100.0% (1)
44.7% (85)
+55.3%
On penalty kill, Shaw has a +55.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johansen shoots right. Shaw is 40.0% vs right-shot opponents (30).
Shaw shoots right. Johansen is 52.1% vs right-shot opponents (336).
Home / Away
Shaw
Johansen
Home
49.2% (61)
53.2% (479)
Away
37.5% (32)
53.2% (553)
By Period
Shaw
Johansen
P1
50.0%
53.8%
P2
51.7%
53.9%
P3
34.4%
52.0%
Final 5 min
45.5%
51.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Shaw
52.0%▲
48.5%
45.2%
Johansen
48.0%▬
48.5%
53.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 16, 2019 | 3 | 15:08 | Neutral | Ryan Johansen |
| Nov 16, 2019 | 3 | 04:04 | Neutral | Ryan Johansen |
| Nov 16, 2019 | 2 | 10:54 | Neutral | Ryan Johansen |
| Oct 29, 2019 | 3 | 06:05 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Oct 29, 2019 | 1 | 05:34 | Defensive | Andrew Shaw |
| Oct 29, 2019 | 1 | 05:30 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |