Scouting Report
Ryan Johansen holds a +2.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Richardson on defensive-zone draws (86% H2H, 7 meetings). Richardson wins 45.4% vs right-shot opponents — Johansen shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Richardson 51.8% vs Johansen 54.3% (-2.0%)
H2H factor
Richardson leads 8-3 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Johansen 82.9%
Defensive zone
Richardson 71.5%
Neutral zone
Johansen 51.5%
Result
Brad Richardson favored at 57.4%
57.4%
42.6%
Richardson
Johansen
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
3
(11 meetings)
8
3
Richardson
Johansen
Last 10: Richardson 7-3 Johansen
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Johansen
0
2
Richardson
Johansen
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Richardson
6
1
Richardson
Johansen
7 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Richardson
2
0
Richardson
Johansen
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Richardson
Johansen
Edge
Even Strength
54.2% (177)
54.0% (1,251)
+0.2%
Power Play
25.0% (4)
58.9% (158)
-33.9%
Penalty Kill
49.0% (49)
55.6% (63)
-6.6%
On power play, Johansen has a +33.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johansen shoots right. Richardson is 45.4% vs right-shot opponents (119).
Richardson shoots left. Johansen is 53.6% vs left-shot opponents (1,042).
Home / Away
Richardson
Johansen
Home
48.5% (101)
56.3% (746)
Away
55.8% (129)
52.8% (726)
By Period
Richardson
Johansen
P1
45.5%
54.0%
P2
56.6%
53.8%
P3
54.5%
55.7%
OT
75.0%
59.1%
Final 5 min
53.6%
53.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Richardson
58.0%▬
58.0%
52.6%
Johansen
48.0%▬
48.5%
54.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3, 2016 | OT | 04:32 | Defensive | Brad Richardson |
| Nov 3, 2016 | OT | 03:21 | Defensive | Brad Richardson |
| Nov 3, 2016 | 3 | 19:56 | Defensive | Brad Richardson |
| Nov 3, 2016 | 3 | 19:52 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Nov 3, 2016 | 3 | 19:11 | Neutral | Brad Richardson |
| Nov 3, 2016 | 3 | 17:23 | Defensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Nov 3, 2016 | 3 | 14:28 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Nov 3, 2016 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Brad Richardson |
| Nov 3, 2016 | 1 | 15:54 | Defensive | Brad Richardson |
| Nov 3, 2016 | 1 | 11:48 | Defensive | Brad Richardson |
| Nov 3, 2016 | 1 | 09:59 | Defensive | Brad Richardson |