Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (52.5% vs 52.3%). Look for Sutter on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Sutter wins 45.2% vs right-shot opponents — Johansen shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Sutter 51.9% vs Johansen 52.2% (+0.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Johansen 55.6%
Defensive zone
Sutter 57.7%
Neutral zone
Sutter 56.6%
Result
Brandon Sutter favored at 57.3%
57.3%
42.7%
Sutter
Johansen
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Sutter
Johansen
Last 6: Sutter 4-2 Johansen
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Sutter
3
1
Sutter
Johansen
4 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Sutter
Johansen
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Sutter
Johansen
Edge
Even Strength
54.0% (187)
51.9% (1,006)
+2.1%
Power Play
50.0% (40)
56.0% (207)
-6.0%
Penalty Kill
49.0% (51)
42.4% (33)
+6.6%
On penalty kill, Sutter has a +6.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johansen shoots right. Sutter is 45.2% vs right-shot opponents (84).
Sutter shoots right. Johansen is 47.7% vs right-shot opponents (390).
Home / Away
Sutter
Johansen
Home
57.3% (164)
56.4% (633)
Away
45.6% (114)
48.1% (613)
By Period
Sutter
Johansen
P1
49.4%
51.4%
P2
52.3%
52.9%
P3
54.3%
51.7%
OT
71.4%
84.6%
Final 5 min
51.4%
51.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Sutter
62.0%▲
57.0%
52.5%
Johansen
48.0%▬
48.5%
52.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 26, 2016 | 3 | 07:40 | Defensive | Brandon Sutter |
| Jan 26, 2016 | 3 | 00:12 | Defensive | Brandon Sutter |
| Jan 26, 2016 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Brandon Sutter |
| Jan 26, 2016 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan Johansen |
| Nov 10, 2015 | 3 | 01:00 | Defensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Nov 10, 2015 | 1 | 06:53 | Defensive | Brandon Sutter |