Scouting Report
Cory Emmerton holds a +3.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Johansen on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Emmerton wins 45.1% vs right-shot opponents — Johansen shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Emmerton 48.7% vs Johansen 46.7% (+3.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Johansen 52.5%
Defensive zone
Johansen 60.9%
Neutral zone
Johansen 62.7%
Result
Ryan Johansen favored at 59.7%
40.3%
59.7%
Emmerton
Johansen
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
5
(8 meetings)
3
5
Emmerton
Johansen
Last 8: Emmerton 3-5 Johansen
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Emmerton
2
0
Emmerton
Johansen
2 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Emmerton
Johansen
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Johansen
0
4
Emmerton
Johansen
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Emmerton
Johansen
Edge
Even Strength
48.2% (299)
45.7% (186)
+2.5%
Power Play
42.9% (7)
40.0% (25)
+2.9%
Penalty Kill
57.1% (7)
33.3% (3)
+23.8%
On penalty kill, Emmerton has a +23.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johansen shoots right. Emmerton is 45.1% vs right-shot opponents (91).
Emmerton shoots left. Johansen is 47.4% vs left-shot opponents (154).
Home / Away
Emmerton
Johansen
Home
49.7% (183)
47.2% (108)
Away
46.2% (130)
43.0% (107)
By Period
Emmerton
Johansen
P1
45.5%
50.0%
P2
50.0%
48.7%
P3
49.4%
37.5%
Final 5 min
46.2%
38.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Emmerton
56.0%▲
50.0%
48.2%
Johansen
48.0%▬
48.5%
45.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 28, 2012 | 3 | 09:53 | Defensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Mar 28, 2012 | 2 | 01:43 | Offensive | Cory Emmerton |
| Mar 26, 2012 | 3 | 16:27 | Neutral | Ryan Johansen |
| Mar 26, 2012 | 3 | 04:32 | Defensive | Cory Emmerton |
| Mar 26, 2012 | 2 | 08:34 | Neutral | Ryan Johansen |
| Mar 26, 2012 | 2 | 04:39 | Neutral | Ryan Johansen |
| Mar 26, 2012 | 2 | 04:18 | Offensive | Cory Emmerton |
| Mar 26, 2012 | 1 | 03:32 | Neutral | Ryan Johansen |