Scouting Report
Darren Helm holds a +1.0% FO% edge overall. Helm wins 56.6% vs right-shot opponents — Johansen shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Helm 52.4% vs Johansen 51.8% (+1.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Helm 53.5%
Defensive zone
Johansen 50.9%
Neutral zone
Helm 52.6%
Result
Darren Helm favored at 51.6%
51.6%
48.4%
Helm
Johansen
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Helm
Johansen
Last 5: Helm 4-1 Johansen
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Helm
Johansen
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Helm
2
0
Helm
Johansen
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Helm
1
0
Helm
Johansen
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Helm
Johansen
Edge
Even Strength
55.2% (330)
51.6% (1,127)
+3.6%
Power Play
61.1% (18)
53.6% (267)
+7.5%
Penalty Kill
41.1% (73)
51.6% (244)
-10.5%
On penalty kill, Johansen has a +10.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johansen shoots right. Helm is 56.6% vs right-shot opponents (143).
Helm shoots left. Johansen is 54.0% vs left-shot opponents (1,067).
Home / Away
Helm
Johansen
Home
53.3% (214)
55.0% (809)
Away
52.7% (207)
49.0% (829)
By Period
Helm
Johansen
P1
52.5%
50.7%
P2
57.6%
54.4%
P3
47.7%
50.5%
OT
75.0%
64.7%
Final 5 min
54.5%
53.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Helm
34.0%▼
44.5%
53.0%
Johansen
48.0%▬
48.5%
52.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 18, 2014 | 2 | 19:35 | Defensive | Darren Helm |
| Nov 18, 2014 | 2 | 14:01 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Nov 18, 2014 | 2 | 03:13 | Defensive | Darren Helm |
| Nov 18, 2014 | 1 | 10:17 | Neutral | Darren Helm |
| Nov 18, 2014 | 1 | 02:42 | Offensive | Darren Helm |