Scouting Report
Dave Bolland holds a +3.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Johansen on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Bolland wins 46.5% vs right-shot opponents — Johansen shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Bolland 48.5% vs Johansen 46.7% (+3.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Johansen 72.9%
Defensive zone
Bolland 70.8%
Neutral zone
Johansen 57.3%
Result
Ryan Johansen favored at 60.4%
39.6%
60.4%
Bolland
Johansen
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Bolland
Johansen
Last 5: Bolland 1-4 Johansen
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Johansen
0
1
Bolland
Johansen
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Johansen
1
3
Bolland
Johansen
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Bolland
Johansen
Edge
Even Strength
49.5% (913)
45.7% (186)
+3.8%
Power Play
48.3% (87)
40.0% (25)
+8.3%
Penalty Kill
44.1% (195)
33.3% (3)
+10.8%
On penalty kill, Bolland has a +10.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johansen shoots right. Bolland is 46.5% vs right-shot opponents (342).
Bolland shoots right. Johansen is 39.3% vs right-shot opponents (61).
Home / Away
Bolland
Johansen
Home
50.8% (622)
47.2% (108)
Away
45.8% (581)
43.0% (107)
By Period
Bolland
Johansen
P1
47.1%
50.0%
P2
47.8%
48.7%
P3
50.9%
37.5%
OT
39.1%
0.0%
Final 5 min
49.8%
38.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Bolland
42.0%▼
44.5%
48.4%
Johansen
48.0%▬
48.5%
45.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 20, 2012 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan Johansen |
| Mar 20, 2012 | 1 | 19:53 | Neutral | Dave Bolland |
| Mar 20, 2012 | 1 | 16:39 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Mar 20, 2012 | 1 | 04:12 | Neutral | Ryan Johansen |
| Mar 20, 2012 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan Johansen |