Scouting Report
Ryan Johansen holds a +2.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Johansen on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Legwand 50.6% vs Johansen 52.6% (-2.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Legwand 71.3%
Defensive zone
Legwand 55.9%
Neutral zone
Legwand 59.4%
Result
David Legwand favored at 57.3%
57.3%
42.7%
Legwand
Johansen
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Legwand
Johansen
Last 5: Legwand 1-4 Johansen
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Johansen
0
3
Legwand
Johansen
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Legwand
Johansen
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Legwand
Johansen
Edge
Even Strength
50.3% (986)
52.5% (1,002)
-2.2%
Power Play
52.9% (153)
56.1% (198)
-3.2%
Penalty Kill
47.1% (17)
49.5% (111)
-2.4%
On power play, Johansen has a +3.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johansen shoots right. Legwand is 51.9% vs right-shot opponents (424).
Legwand shoots left. Johansen is 54.6% vs left-shot opponents (864).
Home / Away
Legwand
Johansen
Home
54.6% (635)
54.7% (632)
Away
45.7% (521)
51.0% (679)
By Period
Legwand
Johansen
P1
53.9%
54.3%
P2
48.4%
53.5%
P3
50.0%
50.9%
OT
44.4%
45.5%
Final 5 min
43.0%
49.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Legwand
42.0%▬
43.0%
50.6%
Johansen
48.0%▬
48.5%
52.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 25, 2014 | 3 | 13:18 | Defensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Mar 25, 2014 | 3 | 13:11 | Defensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Mar 25, 2014 | 2 | 10:58 | Neutral | Ryan Johansen |
| Mar 11, 2014 | 3 | 10:48 | Neutral | David Legwand |
| Nov 27, 2013 | 3 | 17:35 | Defensive | Ryan Johansen |