Scouting Report
Eric Belanger holds a +10.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Johansen on neutral-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Belanger wins 58.9% vs right-shot opponents — Johansen shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Belanger 54.8% vs Johansen 46.7% (+10.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Johansen 87.9%
Defensive zone
Johansen 72.1%
Neutral zone
Johansen 77.8%
Result
Ryan Johansen favored at 76.1%
23.9%
76.1%
Belanger
Johansen
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
6
(7 meetings)
1
6
Belanger
Johansen
Last 7: Belanger 1-6 Johansen
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Johansen
0
2
Belanger
Johansen
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Johansen
1
4
Belanger
Johansen
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Belanger
Johansen
Edge
Even Strength
57.4% (754)
45.7% (186)
+11.7%
Power Play
49.0% (49)
40.0% (25)
+9.0%
Penalty Kill
49.5% (196)
33.3% (3)
+16.2%
On penalty kill, Belanger has a +16.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johansen shoots right. Belanger is 58.9% vs right-shot opponents (331).
Belanger shoots left. Johansen is 47.4% vs left-shot opponents (154).
Home / Away
Belanger
Johansen
Home
55.5% (519)
47.2% (108)
Away
55.1% (488)
43.0% (107)
By Period
Belanger
Johansen
P1
53.1%
50.0%
P2
58.0%
48.7%
P3
54.5%
37.5%
OT
63.6%
0.0%
Final 5 min
51.5%
38.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Belanger
52.0%▼
53.5%
55.3%
Johansen
48.0%▬
48.5%
45.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 25, 2012 | 2 | 14:40 | Neutral | Ryan Johansen |
| Mar 25, 2012 | 2 | 14:28 | Neutral | Ryan Johansen |
| Mar 14, 2012 | 3 | 12:16 | Defensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Mar 14, 2012 | 3 | 12:12 | Defensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Mar 14, 2012 | 2 | 06:24 | Neutral | Ryan Johansen |
| Mar 14, 2012 | 2 | 01:55 | Neutral | Ryan Johansen |
| Mar 14, 2012 | 2 | 01:49 | Neutral | Eric Belanger |