Scouting Report
Ryan Johansen holds a +8.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Fehr on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Fehr wins 44.6% vs right-shot opponents — Johansen shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Fehr 45.9% vs Johansen 52.2% (-8.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Johansen 85.4%
Defensive zone
Johansen 58.5%
Neutral zone
Johansen 71.5%
Result
Ryan Johansen favored at 65.1%
34.9%
65.1%
Fehr
Johansen
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Fehr
Johansen
Last 6: Fehr 4-2 Johansen
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Johansen
0
1
Fehr
Johansen
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Fehr
3
1
Fehr
Johansen
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Fehr
1
0
Fehr
Johansen
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Fehr
Johansen
Edge
Even Strength
46.2% (210)
51.9% (1,006)
-5.7%
Power Play
40.0% (10)
56.0% (207)
-16.0%
Penalty Kill
27.3% (22)
42.4% (33)
-15.1%
On power play, Johansen has a +16.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johansen shoots right. Fehr is 44.6% vs right-shot opponents (65).
Fehr shoots right. Johansen is 47.7% vs right-shot opponents (390).
Home / Away
Fehr
Johansen
Home
44.7% (159)
56.4% (633)
Away
43.4% (83)
48.1% (613)
By Period
Fehr
Johansen
P1
41.5%
51.4%
P2
46.2%
52.9%
P3
44.1%
51.7%
OT
100.0%
84.6%
Final 5 min
41.0%
51.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Fehr
42.0%▼
50.0%
44.2%
Johansen
48.0%▬
48.5%
52.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 21, 2015 | 2 | 09:37 | Defensive | Eric Fehr |
| Dec 21, 2015 | 1 | 09:38 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Dec 21, 2015 | 1 | 09:32 | Neutral | Eric Fehr |
| Nov 27, 2015 | 1 | 08:30 | Defensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Nov 13, 2015 | 2 | 11:22 | Defensive | Eric Fehr |
| Nov 13, 2015 | 1 | 13:19 | Defensive | Eric Fehr |