Scouting Report
Ryan Johansen holds a +3.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Johansen on offensive-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings). Nielsen wins 42.8% vs right-shot opponents — Johansen shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nielsen 48.3% vs Johansen 51.8% (-3.8%)
H2H factor
Johansen leads 9-2 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Nielsen 62.7%
Defensive zone
Nielsen 69.1%
Neutral zone
Nielsen 64.8%
Result
Frans Nielsen favored at 64.8%
64.8%
35.2%
Nielsen
Johansen
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
9
(11 meetings)
2
9
Nielsen
Johansen
Last 10: Nielsen 2-8 Johansen
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Johansen
1
5
Nielsen
Johansen
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Johansen
1
2
Nielsen
Johansen
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Johansen
0
2
Nielsen
Johansen
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nielsen
Johansen
Edge
Even Strength
49.5% (841)
51.6% (1,127)
-2.1%
Power Play
54.1% (37)
53.6% (267)
+0.5%
Penalty Kill
40.7% (172)
51.6% (244)
-10.9%
On penalty kill, Johansen has a +10.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johansen shoots right. Nielsen is 42.8% vs right-shot opponents (388).
Nielsen shoots left. Johansen is 54.0% vs left-shot opponents (1,067).
Home / Away
Nielsen
Johansen
Home
51.2% (510)
55.0% (809)
Away
45.4% (540)
49.0% (829)
By Period
Nielsen
Johansen
P1
48.6%
50.7%
P2
47.4%
54.4%
P3
48.9%
50.5%
OT
40.0%
64.7%
Final 5 min
51.5%
53.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nielsen
50.0%▬
50.0%
48.2%
Johansen
48.0%▬
48.5%
52.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 2, 2015 | OT | 00:22 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Apr 2, 2015 | 3 | 08:50 | Defensive | Frans Nielsen |
| Feb 14, 2015 | 3 | 03:14 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Feb 14, 2015 | 2 | 17:25 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Feb 14, 2015 | 2 | 01:20 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Feb 14, 2015 | 2 | 01:02 | Defensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Feb 14, 2015 | 1 | 05:46 | Neutral | Ryan Johansen |
| Jan 10, 2015 | 3 | 10:15 | Neutral | Ryan Johansen |
| Jan 10, 2015 | 1 | 06:39 | Defensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Jan 10, 2015 | 1 | 06:36 | Offensive | Frans Nielsen |
| Jan 10, 2015 | 1 | 03:21 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |