Scouting Report
Ryan Johansen holds a +7.1% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nielsen 46.8% vs Johansen 52.9% (-7.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Nielsen 61.6%
Defensive zone
Nielsen 70.0%
Neutral zone
Nielsen 67.9%
Result
Frans Nielsen favored at 66.2%
66.2%
33.8%
Nielsen
Johansen
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Nielsen
Johansen
Last 5: Nielsen 1-4 Johansen
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Nielsen
Johansen
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Johansen
0
2
Nielsen
Johansen
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Johansen
0
1
Nielsen
Johansen
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nielsen
Johansen
Edge
Even Strength
46.5% (409)
53.4% (845)
-6.9%
Power Play
43.5% (23)
58.8% (102)
-15.3%
Penalty Kill
41.7% (24)
44.7% (85)
-3.0%
On power play, Johansen has a +15.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johansen shoots right. Nielsen is 50.0% vs right-shot opponents (192).
Nielsen shoots left. Johansen is 53.7% vs left-shot opponents (696).
Home / Away
Nielsen
Johansen
Home
44.7% (264)
53.2% (479)
Away
47.9% (192)
53.2% (553)
By Period
Nielsen
Johansen
P1
48.4%
53.8%
P2
49.7%
53.9%
P3
38.0%
52.0%
OT
100.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
44.5%
51.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nielsen
50.0%▬
50.0%
46.1%
Johansen
48.0%▬
48.5%
53.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 4, 2019 | 3 | 18:15 | Defensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Nov 4, 2019 | 3 | 05:01 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Nov 4, 2019 | 2 | 03:43 | Offensive | Frans Nielsen |
| Oct 5, 2019 | 3 | 09:24 | Neutral | Ryan Johansen |
| Oct 5, 2019 | 2 | 07:07 | Defensive | Ryan Johansen |