Scouting Report
Ryan Johansen holds a +4.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Johansen on offensive-zone draws (76% H2H, 29 meetings). Nielsen wins 47.0% vs right-shot opponents — Johansen shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nielsen 48.5% vs Johansen 53.3% (-4.9%)
H2H factor
Johansen leads 48-21 in 69 meetings
Offensive zone
Nielsen 87.6%
Defensive zone
Nielsen 85.6%
Neutral zone
Nielsen 77.8%
Result
Frans Nielsen favored at 83.9%
83.9%
16.1%
Nielsen
Johansen
Head-to-Head Record
21
-
48
(69 meetings)
21
48
Nielsen
Johansen
Last 10: Nielsen 4-6 Johansen
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Johansen
7
22
Nielsen
Johansen
29 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Johansen
5
12
Nielsen
Johansen
17 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Johansen
9
14
Nielsen
Johansen
23 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nielsen
Johansen
Edge
Even Strength
49.3% (7,608)
53.1% (11,017)
-3.8%
Power Play
54.7% (594)
56.2% (2,163)
-1.5%
Penalty Kill
41.7% (1,420)
50.5% (978)
-8.8%
On penalty kill, Johansen has a +8.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johansen shoots right. Nielsen is 47.0% vs right-shot opponents (3,660).
Nielsen shoots left. Johansen is 54.3% vs left-shot opponents (9,788).
Home / Away
Nielsen
Johansen
Home
49.9% (4,766)
55.0% (7,001)
Away
47.1% (4,890)
51.7% (7,158)
By Period
Nielsen
Johansen
P1
49.7%
53.2%
P2
47.6%
53.9%
P3
48.2%
52.8%
OT
46.6%
58.2%
Final 5 min
48.7%
52.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nielsen
50.0%▬
50.0%
48.5%
Johansen
48.0%▬
48.5%
53.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 4, 2019 | 3 | 18:15 | Defensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Nov 4, 2019 | 3 | 05:01 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Nov 4, 2019 | 2 | 03:43 | Offensive | Frans Nielsen |
| Oct 5, 2019 | 3 | 09:24 | Neutral | Ryan Johansen |
| Oct 5, 2019 | 2 | 07:07 | Defensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Feb 12, 2019 | 2 | 07:13 | Neutral | Frans Nielsen |
| Feb 12, 2019 | 1 | 08:05 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Jan 4, 2019 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Frans Nielsen |
| Feb 20, 2018 | 3 | 16:56 | Offensive | Frans Nielsen |
| Feb 20, 2018 | 3 | 08:26 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Feb 20, 2018 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan Johansen |
| Feb 20, 2018 | 2 | 08:54 | Offensive | Frans Nielsen |
| Feb 20, 2018 | 2 | 08:48 | Defensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Feb 20, 2018 | 2 | 04:52 | Defensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Feb 20, 2018 | 1 | 03:01 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Feb 20, 2018 | 1 | 02:55 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Feb 20, 2018 | 1 | 00:16 | Defensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Feb 20, 2018 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Frans Nielsen |
| Feb 17, 2018 | 3 | 18:41 | Neutral | Frans Nielsen |
| Feb 17, 2018 | 3 | 18:30 | Defensive | Frans Nielsen |