Scouting Report
Ryan Johansen holds a +21.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Johansen on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Peterson wins 43.5% vs right-shot opponents — Johansen shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Peterson 43.9% vs Johansen 52.8% (-21.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Peterson 58.9%
Defensive zone
Peterson 57.8%
Neutral zone
Peterson 59.8%
Result
Jacob Peterson favored at 58.5%
58.5%
41.5%
Peterson
Johansen
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Peterson
Johansen
Last 6: Peterson 2-4 Johansen
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Johansen
1
3
Peterson
Johansen
4 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Peterson
Johansen
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Peterson
Johansen
Edge
Even Strength
35.0% (40)
51.9% (597)
-16.9%
Power Play
50.0% (2)
57.9% (133)
-7.9%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (6)
54.3% (81)
-54.3%
On penalty kill, Johansen has a +54.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johansen shoots right. Peterson is 43.5% vs right-shot opponents (23).
Peterson shoots left. Johansen is 52.9% vs left-shot opponents (584).
Home / Away
Peterson
Johansen
Home
30.0% (20)
55.8% (387)
Away
32.1% (28)
50.7% (424)
By Period
Peterson
Johansen
P1
23.5%
50.0%
P2
33.3%
56.2%
P3
37.5%
52.6%
Final 5 min
55.6%
54.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Peterson
32.0%▼
45.5%
31.3%
Johansen
48.0%▬
48.5%
53.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 14, 2023 | 2 | 19:55 | Offensive | Jacob Peterson |
| Oct 14, 2023 | 2 | 00:58 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Oct 14, 2023 | 2 | 00:52 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Oct 14, 2023 | 2 | 00:38 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Oct 14, 2023 | 1 | 01:04 | Defensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Oct 14, 2023 | 1 | 00:45 | Defensive | Jacob Peterson |