Scouting Report
Ryan Johansen holds a +1.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Jokinen on offensive-zone draws (71% H2H, 7 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Jokinen 50.3% vs Johansen 51.8% (-1.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Johansen 51.3%
Defensive zone
Johansen 83.7%
Neutral zone
Johansen 64.0%
Result
Ryan Johansen favored at 56.3%
43.7%
56.3%
Jokinen
Johansen
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
2
(9 meetings)
7
2
Jokinen
Johansen
Last 9: Jokinen 7-2 Johansen
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Jokinen
5
2
Jokinen
Johansen
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Jokinen
1
0
Jokinen
Johansen
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Jokinen
1
0
Jokinen
Johansen
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Jokinen
Johansen
Edge
Even Strength
47.6% (168)
51.6% (1,127)
-4.0%
Power Play
60.7% (56)
53.6% (267)
+7.1%
Penalty Kill
46.2% (26)
51.6% (244)
-5.4%
On power play, Jokinen has a +7.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johansen shoots right. Jokinen is 52.1% vs right-shot opponents (121).
Jokinen shoots left. Johansen is 54.0% vs left-shot opponents (1,067).
Home / Away
Jokinen
Johansen
Home
56.1% (123)
55.0% (809)
Away
44.9% (127)
49.0% (829)
By Period
Jokinen
Johansen
P1
53.1%
50.7%
P2
51.2%
54.4%
P3
47.3%
50.5%
OT
54.5%
64.7%
Final 5 min
57.4%
53.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Jokinen
44.0%▼
56.0%
50.4%
Johansen
48.0%▬
48.5%
52.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 4, 2014 | 3 | 01:03 | Neutral | Jussi Jokinen |
| Dec 4, 2014 | 3 | 00:48 | Offensive | Jussi Jokinen |
| Dec 4, 2014 | 2 | 16:42 | Offensive | Jussi Jokinen |
| Dec 4, 2014 | 2 | 09:17 | Offensive | Jussi Jokinen |
| Dec 4, 2014 | 2 | 05:46 | Offensive | Jussi Jokinen |
| Dec 4, 2014 | 1 | 16:20 | Defensive | Jussi Jokinen |
| Dec 4, 2014 | 1 | 02:57 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Dec 4, 2014 | 1 | 01:02 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Dec 1, 2014 | 3 | 15:13 | Offensive | Jussi Jokinen |