Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (53.2% vs 52.8%). Look for Johansen on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Chipchura 52.4% vs Johansen 52.6% (+0.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Johansen 55.8%
Defensive zone
Johansen 52.0%
Neutral zone
Johansen 50.6%
Result
Ryan Johansen favored at 53.2%
46.8%
53.2%
Chipchura
Johansen
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
4
(7 meetings)
3
4
Chipchura
Johansen
Last 7: Chipchura 3-4 Johansen
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Johansen
0
3
Chipchura
Johansen
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Chipchura
2
0
Chipchura
Johansen
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Chipchura
Johansen
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Chipchura
Johansen
Edge
Even Strength
53.1% (326)
52.5% (1,002)
+0.6%
Power Play
50.0% (2)
56.1% (198)
-6.1%
Penalty Kill
66.7% (3)
49.5% (111)
+17.2%
On penalty kill, Chipchura has a +17.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johansen shoots right. Chipchura is 48.4% vs right-shot opponents (122).
Chipchura shoots left. Johansen is 54.6% vs left-shot opponents (864).
Home / Away
Chipchura
Johansen
Home
53.1% (147)
54.7% (632)
Away
53.3% (184)
51.0% (679)
By Period
Chipchura
Johansen
P1
45.2%
54.3%
P2
59.3%
53.5%
P3
55.4%
50.9%
OT
100.0%
45.5%
Final 5 min
64.7%
49.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Chipchura
56.0%▲
54.0%
53.2%
Johansen
48.0%▬
48.5%
52.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 8, 2014 | 3 | 17:36 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Apr 8, 2014 | 3 | 12:21 | Defensive | Kyle Chipchura |
| Apr 8, 2014 | 3 | 06:02 | Neutral | Kyle Chipchura |
| Apr 8, 2014 | 2 | 17:56 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Apr 8, 2014 | 1 | 13:32 | Neutral | Ryan Johansen |
| Apr 8, 2014 | 1 | 07:46 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Apr 8, 2014 | 1 | 00:56 | Defensive | Kyle Chipchura |