Scouting Report
Ryan Johansen holds a +5.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Johansen on defensive-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings). Okposo wins 46.4% vs right-shot opponents — Johansen shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Okposo 48.4% vs Johansen 52.6% (-5.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Okposo 59.7%
Defensive zone
Johansen 74.1%
Neutral zone
Johansen 65.8%
Result
Ryan Johansen favored at 64.4%
35.6%
64.4%
Okposo
Johansen
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
3
(7 meetings)
4
3
Okposo
Johansen
Last 7: Okposo 4-3 Johansen
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Okposo
2
0
Okposo
Johansen
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Johansen
2
3
Okposo
Johansen
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Okposo
Johansen
Edge
Even Strength
49.2% (126)
52.5% (1,002)
-3.3%
Power Play
45.5% (66)
56.1% (198)
-10.6%
Penalty Kill
41.7% (12)
49.5% (111)
-7.8%
On power play, Johansen has a +10.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johansen shoots right. Okposo is 46.4% vs right-shot opponents (69).
Okposo shoots right. Johansen is 49.2% vs right-shot opponents (447).
Home / Away
Okposo
Johansen
Home
50.9% (106)
54.7% (632)
Away
43.9% (98)
51.0% (679)
By Period
Okposo
Johansen
P1
61.4%
54.3%
P2
42.7%
53.5%
P3
44.3%
50.9%
OT
50.0%
45.5%
Final 5 min
43.1%
49.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Okposo
48.0%▬
49.0%
47.5%
Johansen
48.0%▬
48.5%
52.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 23, 2014 | 3 | 11:33 | Offensive | Kyle Okposo |
| Mar 23, 2014 | 2 | 08:11 | Defensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Mar 23, 2014 | 2 | 02:52 | Offensive | Kyle Okposo |
| Mar 23, 2014 | 1 | 14:01 | Defensive | Kyle Okposo |
| Mar 23, 2014 | 1 | 11:18 | Defensive | Kyle Okposo |
| Mar 23, 2014 | 1 | 00:19 | Defensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Oct 5, 2013 | 2 | 13:35 | Defensive | Ryan Johansen |