Scouting Report
Matt Cullen holds a +2.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Johansen on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cullen 53.0% vs Johansen 51.8% (+2.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Johansen 62.3%
Defensive zone
Johansen 61.3%
Neutral zone
Johansen 63.0%
Result
Ryan Johansen favored at 62.4%
37.6%
62.4%
Cullen
Johansen
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Cullen
Johansen
Last 5: Cullen 1-4 Johansen
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Johansen
1
3
Cullen
Johansen
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Johansen
0
1
Cullen
Johansen
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cullen
Johansen
Edge
Even Strength
54.2% (251)
51.6% (1,127)
+2.6%
Power Play
41.7% (12)
53.6% (267)
-11.9%
Penalty Kill
58.3% (24)
51.6% (244)
+6.7%
On power play, Johansen has a +11.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johansen shoots right. Cullen is 48.7% vs right-shot opponents (119).
Cullen shoots left. Johansen is 54.0% vs left-shot opponents (1,067).
Home / Away
Cullen
Johansen
Home
65.9% (126)
55.0% (809)
Away
44.7% (161)
49.0% (829)
By Period
Cullen
Johansen
P1
52.7%
50.7%
P2
55.9%
54.4%
P3
51.6%
50.5%
OT
75.0%
64.7%
Final 5 min
47.3%
53.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cullen
58.0%▲
53.5%
54.0%
Johansen
48.0%▬
48.5%
52.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 22, 2014 | 3 | 10:30 | Neutral | Ryan Johansen |
| Dec 22, 2014 | 1 | 06:39 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Dec 22, 2014 | 1 | 06:32 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Dec 22, 2014 | 1 | 02:23 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Nov 29, 2014 | 2 | 00:09 | Offensive | Matt Cullen |