Scouting Report
Ryan Johansen holds a +3.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Cullen on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cullen 51.1% vs Johansen 54.3% (-3.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Johansen 82.2%
Defensive zone
Cullen 70.9%
Neutral zone
Johansen 50.9%
Result
Ryan Johansen favored at 51.9%
48.1%
51.9%
Cullen
Johansen
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
2
(7 meetings)
5
2
Cullen
Johansen
Last 7: Cullen 5-2 Johansen
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Cullen
3
0
Cullen
Johansen
3 total
Defensive Zone
Even
2
2
Cullen
Johansen
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cullen
Johansen
Edge
Even Strength
54.0% (648)
54.0% (1,251)
+0.0%
Power Play
58.3% (24)
58.9% (158)
-0.6%
Penalty Kill
40.6% (187)
55.6% (63)
-15.0%
On penalty kill, Johansen has a +15.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johansen shoots right. Cullen is 50.4% vs right-shot opponents (335).
Cullen shoots left. Johansen is 53.6% vs left-shot opponents (1,042).
Home / Away
Cullen
Johansen
Home
52.9% (416)
56.3% (746)
Away
49.7% (443)
52.8% (726)
By Period
Cullen
Johansen
P1
53.5%
54.0%
P2
51.3%
53.8%
P3
49.2%
55.7%
OT
50.0%
59.1%
Final 5 min
53.6%
53.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cullen
58.0%▲
53.5%
51.2%
Johansen
48.0%▬
48.5%
54.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 22, 2016 | 3 | 18:10 | Defensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Oct 22, 2016 | 3 | 09:06 | Defensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Oct 22, 2016 | 2 | 13:55 | Offensive | Matt Cullen |
| Oct 22, 2016 | 1 | 19:09 | Defensive | Matt Cullen |
| Oct 22, 2016 | 1 | 18:15 | Offensive | Matt Cullen |
| Oct 22, 2016 | 1 | 18:10 | Offensive | Matt Cullen |
| Oct 22, 2016 | 1 | 10:37 | Defensive | Matt Cullen |