Scouting Report
Ryan Johansen holds a +5.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Johansen on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Cullen wins 53.8% vs right-shot opponents — Johansen shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cullen 50.3% vs Johansen 55.1% (-5.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Cullen 51.0%
Defensive zone
Cullen 74.9%
Neutral zone
Cullen 63.9%
Result
Matt Cullen favored at 63.2%
63.2%
36.8%
Cullen
Johansen
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
6
(8 meetings)
2
6
Cullen
Johansen
Last 8: Cullen 2-6 Johansen
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Johansen
0
3
Cullen
Johansen
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Johansen
1
2
Cullen
Johansen
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Cullen
Johansen
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cullen
Johansen
Edge
Even Strength
50.1% (637)
55.9% (1,157)
-5.8%
Power Play
50.0% (8)
56.5% (237)
-6.5%
Penalty Kill
53.3% (60)
43.3% (67)
+10.0%
On penalty kill, Cullen has a +10.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johansen shoots right. Cullen is 53.8% vs right-shot opponents (279).
Cullen shoots left. Johansen is 57.1% vs left-shot opponents (1,004).
Home / Away
Cullen
Johansen
Home
50.5% (400)
55.8% (733)
Away
50.2% (305)
55.1% (728)
By Period
Cullen
Johansen
P1
49.8%
53.5%
P2
48.8%
55.9%
P3
52.9%
57.2%
OT
0.0%
47.4%
Final 5 min
49.7%
51.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cullen
58.0%▲
53.5%
50.4%
Johansen
48.0%▬
48.5%
55.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 30, 2017 | 1 | 11:51 | Defensive | Matt Cullen |
| Dec 30, 2017 | 1 | 07:50 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Dec 29, 2017 | 3 | 19:09 | Neutral | Matt Cullen |
| Dec 29, 2017 | 2 | 02:59 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Dec 29, 2017 | 2 | 02:55 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Nov 16, 2017 | 3 | 10:08 | Defensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Nov 16, 2017 | 3 | 02:44 | Neutral | Ryan Johansen |
| Nov 16, 2017 | 2 | 12:25 | Defensive | Ryan Johansen |