Scouting Report
Matt Hendricks holds a +2.3% FO% edge overall. Hendricks wins 53.5% vs right-shot opponents — Johansen shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hendricks 54.8% vs Johansen 54.3% (+2.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Johansen 75.2%
Defensive zone
Hendricks 68.9%
Neutral zone
Johansen 56.1%
Result
Ryan Johansen favored at 58.7%
41.3%
58.7%
Hendricks
Johansen
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Hendricks
Johansen
Last 5: Hendricks 2-3 Johansen
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Johansen
0
2
Hendricks
Johansen
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hendricks
1
0
Hendricks
Johansen
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Hendricks
Johansen
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hendricks
Johansen
Edge
Even Strength
60.9% (184)
54.0% (1,251)
+6.9%
Power Play
100.0% (1)
58.9% (158)
+41.1%
Penalty Kill
40.4% (47)
55.6% (63)
-15.2%
On power play, Hendricks has a +41.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johansen shoots right. Hendricks is 53.5% vs right-shot opponents (99).
Hendricks shoots left. Johansen is 53.6% vs left-shot opponents (1,042).
Home / Away
Hendricks
Johansen
Home
62.3% (114)
56.3% (746)
Away
51.7% (118)
52.8% (726)
By Period
Hendricks
Johansen
P1
51.3%
54.0%
P2
63.0%
53.8%
P3
56.2%
55.7%
Final 5 min
51.5%
53.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hendricks
60.0%▲
50.5%
56.9%
Johansen
48.0%▬
48.5%
54.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 26, 2017 | 2 | 19:00 | Neutral | Ryan Johansen |
| Feb 26, 2017 | 2 | 16:25 | Neutral | Matt Hendricks |
| Feb 26, 2017 | 2 | 07:50 | Defensive | Matt Hendricks |
| Feb 26, 2017 | 1 | 15:51 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Feb 26, 2017 | 1 | 14:27 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |