Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (50.6% vs 51.4%). Look for Lapierre on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings). Lapierre wins 58.1% vs right-shot opponents — Johansen shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lapierre 50.5% vs Johansen 51.2% (-0.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Johansen 83.2%
Defensive zone
Lapierre 82.0%
Neutral zone
Lapierre 59.6%
Result
Maxim Lapierre favored at 67.3%
67.3%
32.7%
Lapierre
Johansen
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
2
(9 meetings)
7
2
Lapierre
Johansen
Last 9: Lapierre 7-2 Johansen
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Johansen
0
1
Lapierre
Johansen
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lapierre
5
0
Lapierre
Johansen
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lapierre
2
1
Lapierre
Johansen
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lapierre
Johansen
Edge
Even Strength
52.9% (416)
51.2% (447)
+1.7%
Power Play
54.5% (11)
53.4% (73)
+1.1%
Penalty Kill
41.7% (115)
44.4% (9)
-2.7%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johansen shoots right. Lapierre is 58.1% vs right-shot opponents (148).
Lapierre shoots right. Johansen is 50.0% vs right-shot opponents (150).
Home / Away
Lapierre
Johansen
Home
48.7% (277)
54.9% (255)
Away
52.5% (265)
48.2% (274)
By Period
Lapierre
Johansen
P1
56.6%
51.7%
P2
43.9%
49.4%
P3
52.7%
51.8%
OT
33.3%
66.7%
Final 5 min
54.8%
48.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lapierre
56.0%▬
55.0%
50.6%
Johansen
48.0%▬
48.5%
51.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 7, 2013 | OT | 00:16 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Mar 7, 2013 | 3 | 17:31 | Defensive | Maxim Lapierre |
| Mar 7, 2013 | 3 | 15:56 | Defensive | Maxim Lapierre |
| Mar 7, 2013 | 3 | 06:09 | Defensive | Maxim Lapierre |
| Mar 7, 2013 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan Johansen |
| Mar 7, 2013 | 2 | 07:55 | Defensive | Maxim Lapierre |
| Mar 7, 2013 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Maxim Lapierre |
| Mar 7, 2013 | 1 | 07:24 | Defensive | Maxim Lapierre |
| Mar 7, 2013 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Maxim Lapierre |