Scouting Report
Ryan Johansen holds a +4.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Johansen on offensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Marleau 48.5% vs Johansen 51.8% (-4.0%)
H2H factor
Johansen leads 10-5 in 15 meetings
Offensive zone
Marleau 63.6%
Defensive zone
Marleau 54.2%
Neutral zone
Marleau 65.0%
Result
Patrick Marleau favored at 61.6%
61.6%
38.4%
Marleau
Johansen
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
10
(15 meetings)
5
10
Marleau
Johansen
Last 10: Marleau 2-8 Johansen
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Johansen
1
4
Marleau
Johansen
5 total
Defensive Zone
Even
2
2
Marleau
Johansen
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Johansen
2
4
Marleau
Johansen
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Marleau
Johansen
Edge
Even Strength
47.6% (288)
51.6% (1,127)
-4.0%
Power Play
52.9% (34)
53.6% (267)
-0.7%
Penalty Kill
47.1% (34)
51.6% (244)
-4.5%
On penalty kill, Johansen has a +4.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johansen shoots right. Marleau is 50.0% vs right-shot opponents (168).
Marleau shoots left. Johansen is 54.0% vs left-shot opponents (1,067).
Home / Away
Marleau
Johansen
Home
52.8% (125)
55.0% (809)
Away
45.5% (231)
49.0% (829)
By Period
Marleau
Johansen
P1
49.6%
50.7%
P2
50.0%
54.4%
P3
46.5%
50.5%
OT
0.0%
64.7%
Final 5 min
41.0%
53.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Marleau
50.0%▲
47.0%
48.0%
Johansen
48.0%▬
48.5%
52.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 15, 2014 | 1 | 18:17 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Nov 15, 2014 | 1 | 12:40 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Nov 15, 2014 | 1 | 03:17 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Oct 23, 2014 | 3 | 07:56 | Defensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Oct 23, 2014 | 3 | 07:49 | Neutral | Ryan Johansen |
| Oct 23, 2014 | 3 | 03:32 | Neutral | Patrick Marleau |
| Oct 23, 2014 | 3 | 00:10 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Oct 23, 2014 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan Johansen |
| Oct 23, 2014 | 2 | 07:53 | Defensive | Patrick Marleau |
| Oct 23, 2014 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan Johansen |
| Oct 23, 2014 | 1 | 15:41 | Defensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Oct 23, 2014 | 1 | 15:28 | Neutral | Patrick Marleau |
| Oct 23, 2014 | 1 | 05:43 | Defensive | Patrick Marleau |
| Oct 23, 2014 | 1 | 02:47 | Offensive | Patrick Marleau |
| Oct 23, 2014 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan Johansen |