Scouting Report
Ryan Johansen holds a +2.1% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Berglund 50.1% vs Johansen 52.2% (-2.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Johansen 58.6%
Defensive zone
Berglund 65.3%
Neutral zone
Berglund 58.1%
Result
Patrik Berglund favored at 54.3%
54.3%
45.7%
Berglund
Johansen
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
5
(7 meetings)
2
5
Berglund
Johansen
Last 7: Berglund 2-5 Johansen
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Johansen
0
2
Berglund
Johansen
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Johansen
0
1
Berglund
Johansen
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Berglund
Johansen
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Berglund
Johansen
Edge
Even Strength
50.4% (240)
51.9% (1,006)
-1.5%
Power Play
38.5% (13)
56.0% (207)
-17.5%
Penalty Kill
54.2% (24)
42.4% (33)
+11.8%
On power play, Johansen has a +17.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johansen shoots right. Berglund is 52.5% vs right-shot opponents (101).
Berglund shoots left. Johansen is 54.4% vs left-shot opponents (856).
Home / Away
Berglund
Johansen
Home
51.8% (114)
56.4% (633)
Away
49.1% (163)
48.1% (613)
By Period
Berglund
Johansen
P1
48.4%
51.4%
P2
50.6%
52.9%
P3
52.1%
51.7%
OT
33.3%
84.6%
Final 5 min
57.1%
51.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Berglund
60.0%▲
57.0%
50.2%
Johansen
48.0%▬
48.5%
52.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 27, 2016 | 3 | 10:00 | Defensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Feb 27, 2016 | 3 | 06:32 | Neutral | Ryan Johansen |
| Feb 27, 2016 | 2 | 08:07 | Neutral | Patrik Berglund |
| Feb 27, 2016 | 2 | 00:54 | Neutral | Ryan Johansen |
| Feb 27, 2016 | 1 | 12:53 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Feb 27, 2016 | 1 | 09:55 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Feb 2, 2016 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Patrik Berglund |