Scouting Report
Ryan Johansen holds a +6.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Johansen on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Varone 46.2% vs Johansen 51.8% (-6.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Varone 59.9%
Defensive zone
Varone 62.7%
Neutral zone
Varone 62.4%
Result
Phil Varone favored at 62.1%
62.1%
37.9%
Varone
Johansen
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Varone
Johansen
Last 6: Varone 2-4 Johansen
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Varone
1
0
Varone
Johansen
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Johansen
0
2
Varone
Johansen
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Johansen
1
2
Varone
Johansen
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Varone
Johansen
Edge
Even Strength
45.4% (315)
51.6% (1,127)
-6.2%
Power Play
36.4% (11)
53.6% (267)
-17.2%
On power play, Johansen has a +17.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johansen shoots right. Varone is 50.0% vs right-shot opponents (138).
Varone shoots left. Johansen is 54.0% vs left-shot opponents (1,067).
Home / Away
Varone
Johansen
Home
44.5% (119)
55.0% (809)
Away
45.4% (207)
49.0% (829)
By Period
Varone
Johansen
P1
44.5%
50.7%
P2
38.6%
54.4%
P3
53.5%
50.5%
OT
33.3%
64.7%
Final 5 min
36.4%
53.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Varone
40.0%▼
50.5%
45.1%
Johansen
48.0%▬
48.5%
52.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 10, 2015 | 2 | 13:10 | Defensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Apr 10, 2015 | 2 | 08:33 | Neutral | Phil Varone |
| Apr 10, 2015 | 2 | 05:20 | Neutral | Ryan Johansen |
| Apr 10, 2015 | 2 | 01:42 | Neutral | Ryan Johansen |
| Apr 10, 2015 | 1 | 06:17 | Defensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Apr 10, 2015 | 1 | 00:41 | Offensive | Phil Varone |