Scouting Report
Ryan Kesler holds a +2.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Kesler on neutral-zone draws (72% H2H, 18 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Johansen 53.3% vs Kesler 55.9% (-2.6%)
H2H factor
Kesler leads 39-29 in 68 meetings
Offensive zone
Johansen 71.3%
Defensive zone
Kesler 50.5%
Neutral zone
Johansen 58.4%
Result
Ryan Johansen favored at 59.9%
59.9%
40.1%
Johansen
Kesler
Head-to-Head Record
29
-
39
(68 meetings)
29
39
Johansen
Kesler
Last 10: Johansen 5-5 Kesler
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Johansen
15
10
Johansen
Kesler
25 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kesler
9
16
Johansen
Kesler
25 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kesler
5
13
Johansen
Kesler
18 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Johansen
Kesler
Edge
Even Strength
53.1% (11,017)
56.4% (8,095)
-3.3%
Power Play
56.2% (2,163)
60.7% (1,437)
-4.5%
Penalty Kill
50.5% (978)
50.5% (1,908)
+0.0%
On power play, Kesler has a +4.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kesler shoots right. Johansen is 51.3% vs right-shot opponents (4,371).
Johansen shoots right. Kesler is 55.6% vs right-shot opponents (3,497).
Home / Away
Johansen
Kesler
Home
55.0% (7,001)
57.2% (5,732)
Away
51.7% (7,158)
54.7% (5,751)
By Period
Johansen
Kesler
P1
53.2%
56.5%
P2
53.9%
55.9%
P3
52.8%
56.1%
OT
58.2%
46.0%
Final 5 min
52.2%
56.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Johansen
48.0%▬
48.5%
53.4%
Kesler
50.0%▼
54.5%
56.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 25, 2018 | 3 | 18:46 | Defensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Nov 25, 2018 | 3 | 18:29 | Neutral | Ryan Kesler |
| Nov 25, 2018 | 3 | 07:37 | Neutral | Ryan Johansen |
| Nov 25, 2018 | 2 | 13:02 | Neutral | Ryan Kesler |
| Nov 12, 2018 | OT | 04:19 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Nov 12, 2018 | 3 | 19:05 | Neutral | Ryan Kesler |
| Nov 12, 2018 | 3 | 16:58 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Nov 12, 2018 | 3 | 05:35 | Neutral | Ryan Johansen |
| Nov 12, 2018 | 3 | 03:46 | Neutral | Ryan Kesler |
| Nov 12, 2018 | 2 | 15:43 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Nov 12, 2018 | 2 | 02:06 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Nov 12, 2018 | 2 | 00:46 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Nov 12, 2018 | 1 | 17:09 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Nov 12, 2018 | 1 | 15:17 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Nov 12, 2018 | 1 | 12:24 | Offensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Nov 12, 2018 | 1 | 06:50 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Nov 12, 2018 | 1 | 04:34 | Defensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Mar 8, 2018 | 3 | 07:50 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Mar 8, 2018 | 2 | 18:42 | Neutral | Ryan Kesler |
| Mar 7, 2017 | 3 | 11:28 | Offensive | Ryan Kesler |