Scouting Report
Ryan Johansen holds a +1.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Johansen on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 6 meetings). Johansen wins 54.3% vs left-shot opponents — Koivu shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Johansen 53.3% vs Koivu 51.8% (+1.6%)
H2H factor
Johansen leads 8-7 in 15 meetings
Offensive zone
Johansen 78.6%
Defensive zone
Koivu 63.9%
Neutral zone
Johansen 53.7%
Result
Ryan Johansen favored at 58.3%
58.3%
41.7%
Johansen
Koivu
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
7
(15 meetings)
8
7
Johansen
Koivu
Last 10: Johansen 7-3 Koivu
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Johansen
4
3
Johansen
Koivu
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Johansen
4
2
Johansen
Koivu
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Koivu
0
2
Johansen
Koivu
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Johansen
Koivu
Edge
Even Strength
53.1% (11,017)
51.9% (3,221)
+1.2%
Power Play
56.2% (2,163)
59.3% (437)
-3.1%
Penalty Kill
50.5% (978)
48.0% (764)
+2.5%
On power play, Koivu has a +3.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Koivu shoots left. Johansen is 54.3% vs left-shot opponents (9,788).
Johansen shoots right. Koivu is 52.0% vs right-shot opponents (1,337).
Home / Away
Johansen
Koivu
Home
55.0% (7,001)
53.5% (2,281)
Away
51.7% (7,158)
50.1% (2,209)
By Period
Johansen
Koivu
P1
53.2%
51.1%
P2
53.9%
52.6%
P3
52.8%
51.8%
OT
58.2%
52.3%
Final 5 min
52.2%
55.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Johansen
48.0%▬
48.5%
53.4%
Koivu
46.0%▼
50.0%
51.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 3, 2014 | 3 | 08:48 | Neutral | Saku Koivu |
| Feb 3, 2014 | 3 | 02:19 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Feb 3, 2014 | 1 | 13:10 | Defensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Feb 3, 2014 | 1 | 03:59 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Feb 3, 2014 | 1 | 03:53 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Feb 3, 2014 | 1 | 01:32 | Defensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Feb 3, 2014 | 1 | 01:23 | Defensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Apr 17, 2013 | 3 | 14:34 | Offensive | Saku Koivu |
| Apr 17, 2013 | 3 | 03:08 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Apr 17, 2013 | 2 | 01:32 | Offensive | Saku Koivu |
| Apr 17, 2013 | 1 | 15:51 | Defensive | Saku Koivu |
| Mar 31, 2013 | OT | 03:33 | Defensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Mar 31, 2013 | 3 | 17:29 | Neutral | Saku Koivu |
| Mar 31, 2013 | 2 | 15:38 | Offensive | Saku Koivu |
| Mar 31, 2013 | 2 | 04:57 | Defensive | Saku Koivu |