Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (51.4% vs 51.4%). Look for Koivu on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Johansen 51.2% vs Koivu 51.2% (+0.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Johansen 71.0%
Defensive zone
Koivu 63.9%
Neutral zone
Johansen 53.7%
Result
Ryan Johansen favored at 55.7%
55.7%
44.3%
Johansen
Koivu
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
6
(8 meetings)
2
6
Johansen
Koivu
Last 8: Johansen 2-6 Koivu
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Koivu
1
3
Johansen
Koivu
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Koivu
1
2
Johansen
Koivu
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Koivu
0
1
Johansen
Koivu
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Johansen
Koivu
Edge
Even Strength
51.2% (447)
52.5% (631)
-1.3%
Power Play
53.4% (73)
49.3% (73)
+4.1%
Penalty Kill
44.4% (9)
47.6% (147)
-3.2%
On power play, Johansen has a +4.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Koivu shoots left. Johansen is 52.0% vs left-shot opponents (379).
Johansen shoots right. Koivu is 53.5% vs right-shot opponents (230).
Home / Away
Johansen
Koivu
Home
54.9% (255)
51.3% (431)
Away
48.2% (274)
51.4% (420)
By Period
Johansen
Koivu
P1
51.7%
51.9%
P2
49.4%
52.9%
P3
51.8%
49.8%
OT
66.7%
41.7%
Final 5 min
48.8%
54.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Johansen
48.0%▬
48.5%
51.4%
Koivu
46.0%▼
50.0%
51.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 17, 2013 | 3 | 14:34 | Offensive | Saku Koivu |
| Apr 17, 2013 | 3 | 03:08 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Apr 17, 2013 | 2 | 01:32 | Offensive | Saku Koivu |
| Apr 17, 2013 | 1 | 15:51 | Defensive | Saku Koivu |
| Mar 31, 2013 | OT | 03:33 | Defensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Mar 31, 2013 | 3 | 17:29 | Neutral | Saku Koivu |
| Mar 31, 2013 | 2 | 15:38 | Offensive | Saku Koivu |
| Mar 31, 2013 | 2 | 04:57 | Defensive | Saku Koivu |