Scouting Report
Ryan Johansen holds a +2.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Johansen on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Johansen wins 54.6% vs left-shot opponents — Koivu shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Johansen 52.6% vs Koivu 50.4% (+2.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Johansen 74.3%
Defensive zone
Johansen 56.9%
Neutral zone
Johansen 67.0%
Result
Ryan Johansen favored at 65.8%
65.8%
34.2%
Johansen
Koivu
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
1
(7 meetings)
6
1
Johansen
Koivu
Last 7: Johansen 6-1 Koivu
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Johansen
3
0
Johansen
Koivu
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Johansen
3
0
Johansen
Koivu
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Koivu
0
1
Johansen
Koivu
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Johansen
Koivu
Edge
Even Strength
52.5% (1,002)
50.4% (912)
+2.1%
Power Play
56.1% (198)
59.1% (44)
-3.0%
Penalty Kill
49.5% (111)
46.8% (111)
+2.7%
On power play, Koivu has a +3.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Koivu shoots left. Johansen is 54.6% vs left-shot opponents (864).
Johansen shoots right. Koivu is 55.9% vs right-shot opponents (367).
Home / Away
Johansen
Koivu
Home
54.7% (632)
51.5% (610)
Away
51.0% (679)
49.0% (457)
By Period
Johansen
Koivu
P1
54.3%
48.5%
P2
53.5%
51.5%
P3
50.9%
51.1%
OT
45.5%
57.1%
Final 5 min
49.0%
53.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Johansen
48.0%▬
48.5%
52.8%
Koivu
46.0%▼
50.0%
50.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 3, 2014 | 3 | 08:48 | Neutral | Saku Koivu |
| Feb 3, 2014 | 3 | 02:19 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Feb 3, 2014 | 1 | 13:10 | Defensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Feb 3, 2014 | 1 | 03:59 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Feb 3, 2014 | 1 | 03:53 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Feb 3, 2014 | 1 | 01:32 | Defensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Feb 3, 2014 | 1 | 01:23 | Defensive | Ryan Johansen |