Scouting Report
Ryan Johansen holds a +11.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Gionta on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Johansen 52.6% vs Gionta 42.3% (+11.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Johansen 58.6%
Defensive zone
Gionta 56.3%
Neutral zone
Gionta 57.7%
Result
Stephen Gionta favored at 54.2%
45.8%
54.2%
Johansen
Gionta
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Johansen
Gionta
Last 5: Johansen 2-3 Gionta
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Johansen
1
0
Johansen
Gionta
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Gionta
0
1
Johansen
Gionta
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Gionta
1
2
Johansen
Gionta
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Johansen
Gionta
Edge
Even Strength
52.5% (1,002)
40.5% (526)
+12.0%
Power Play
56.1% (198)
50.0% (2)
+6.1%
Penalty Kill
49.5% (111)
45.3% (53)
+4.2%
On even strength, Johansen has a +12.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gionta shoots right. Johansen is 49.2% vs right-shot opponents (447).
Johansen shoots right. Gionta is 43.7% vs right-shot opponents (167).
Home / Away
Johansen
Gionta
Home
54.7% (632)
46.3% (300)
Away
51.0% (679)
35.2% (281)
By Period
Johansen
Gionta
P1
54.3%
41.8%
P2
53.5%
42.0%
P3
50.9%
38.7%
OT
45.5%
60.0%
Final 5 min
49.0%
43.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Johansen
48.0%▬
48.5%
52.8%
Gionta
50.0%▲
48.0%
41.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 27, 2014 | 2 | 19:41 | Neutral | Stephen Gionta |
| Dec 27, 2013 | OT | 01:25 | Neutral | Ryan Johansen |
| Dec 27, 2013 | 2 | 02:44 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Oct 22, 2013 | 2 | 06:35 | Defensive | Stephen Gionta |
| Oct 22, 2013 | 2 | 06:24 | Neutral | Stephen Gionta |