Scouting Report
Ryan Johansen holds a +11.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Johansen on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Johansen 51.8% vs Gionta 42.3% (+11.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Johansen 82.4%
Defensive zone
Johansen 53.4%
Neutral zone
Johansen 68.5%
Result
Ryan Johansen favored at 65.6%
65.6%
34.4%
Johansen
Gionta
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Johansen
Gionta
Last 6: Johansen 4-2 Gionta
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Johansen
2
0
Johansen
Gionta
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Johansen
2
1
Johansen
Gionta
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Gionta
0
1
Johansen
Gionta
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Johansen
Gionta
Edge
Even Strength
51.6% (1,127)
40.3% (303)
+11.3%
Power Play
53.6% (267)
66.7% (6)
-13.1%
Penalty Kill
51.6% (244)
38.8% (85)
+12.8%
On power play, Gionta has a +13.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gionta shoots right. Johansen is 48.2% vs right-shot opponents (571).
Johansen shoots right. Gionta is 37.6% vs right-shot opponents (109).
Home / Away
Johansen
Gionta
Home
55.0% (809)
42.8% (166)
Away
49.0% (829)
38.6% (228)
By Period
Johansen
Gionta
P1
50.7%
41.7%
P2
54.4%
42.3%
P3
50.5%
37.8%
OT
64.7%
0.0%
Final 5 min
53.1%
38.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Johansen
48.0%▬
48.5%
52.0%
Gionta
50.0%▲
48.0%
40.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 31, 2015 | 2 | 17:26 | Defensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Mar 6, 2015 | 3 | 03:02 | Defensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Mar 6, 2015 | 3 | 01:22 | Defensive | Stephen Gionta |
| Feb 28, 2015 | 3 | 13:22 | Neutral | Stephen Gionta |
| Feb 28, 2015 | 2 | 07:08 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Nov 1, 2014 | 2 | 09:20 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |