Scouting Report
Ryan Johansen holds a +10.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Johansen on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Johansen 52.2% vs Gionta 43.1% (+10.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Johansen 93.1%
Defensive zone
Johansen 65.2%
Neutral zone
Johansen 83.3%
Result
Ryan Johansen favored at 85.3%
85.3%
14.7%
Johansen
Gionta
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
0
(5 meetings)
5
0
Johansen
Gionta
Last 5: Johansen 5-0 Gionta
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Johansen
1
0
Johansen
Gionta
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Johansen
4
0
Johansen
Gionta
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Johansen
Gionta
Edge
Even Strength
51.9% (1,006)
41.8% (612)
+10.1%
Power Play
56.0% (207)
61.5% (13)
-5.5%
Penalty Kill
42.4% (33)
40.9% (66)
+1.5%
On even strength, Johansen has a +10.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gionta shoots right. Johansen is 47.7% vs right-shot opponents (390).
Johansen shoots right. Gionta is 42.9% vs right-shot opponents (231).
Home / Away
Johansen
Gionta
Home
56.4% (633)
41.3% (344)
Away
48.1% (613)
42.9% (347)
By Period
Johansen
Gionta
P1
51.4%
39.8%
P2
52.9%
46.8%
P3
51.7%
39.5%
OT
84.6%
0.0%
Final 5 min
51.3%
35.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Johansen
48.0%▬
48.5%
52.3%
Gionta
50.0%▲
48.0%
42.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 3, 2016 | 3 | 09:13 | Neutral | Ryan Johansen |
| Mar 3, 2016 | 2 | 16:49 | Neutral | Ryan Johansen |
| Mar 3, 2016 | 2 | 06:02 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Mar 3, 2016 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan Johansen |
| Nov 25, 2015 | 2 | 03:04 | Neutral | Ryan Johansen |